| TREASURY AND RISK MANAGEMENT |
February
1999 |
RELENTLESS
An inside look at how CFOs at troubled
companies are dealing with debt - and debt collectors.
By Steven Crane
"I've been rich and I've been
poor. Believe me, rich is better." -
Gloria Grahame in The Big Heat
We'll call her Miss Wong. She is a slight,
sympathetic woman who, as she talks, gently brushes back the
feathers of hair that float across her eyes. She is shy, even
embarrassed, about the whole, sad mess. Miss Wong oversees
the finances for a small Hong Kong trading firm - 1997 turnover
of HK$24 million (US$3 million) - a task that is none too
pleasant these days. In fact, it's damned worrisome. Her company,
you see, is in debt and creditors call more regularly than
customers. And debt collectors are very hard men, as Miss
Wong points out, very hard men indeed. Men whom she wishes
would just go away and leave her alone. But she knows that
will never happen. "You have to realize that you cannot
give them nothing," she says. "They're not your
real enemy. It's their job to get money."
Time, tight credit and the recession,
she says, are the real enemies. "If you want to stay
in business, you can't hide away - you have to come to work
every day to try and find new customers, try and get new orders,
try and make some money to pay the debt," she says. "But
it's very difficult to concentrate on business when you have
this problem." This problem isn't likely to go away any
time soon, either. Right now, Miss Wong can't pay her creditors.
What she needs is time to find that which makes the world
go around - money. Money, as Miss Wong well knows, can't buy
peace of mind. It can, however, rent it.
If it is any comfort for Miss Wong, she
is not the only one finding it difficult to pay creditors
these days. The difference is, the bigger the business, the
broader its options. A large company is better able to fend
off dogged debt collectors, primarily because it has more
money, better advice and a higher profile - all of which provide
the muscle to negotiate with creditors. Big companies, says
Richard Petty, a lecturer at Hong Kong University's School
of Business, know when their bankers are actually going to
foreclose on loans rather than just trying to bluff them into
paying early. Conversely, finance managers at small-and medium-sized
companies (SMEs) don't have the resources to pay for expert
advice on how to handle creditors. And without that advice,
says Petty, companies can plunge into a self-perpetuating
downward spiral with little chance of resuscitation - unless
a white knight happens along with a massive cash injection.
These days, that's about as likely as a debt collector letting
you off the hook.
"I've met a lot of hard-boiled
eggs in my time, but you - you're twenty minutes." -
Jan Sterling to Kirk Douglas in Ace in the Hole
David Li Kwok-po, chairman of the Bank
of East Asia says bad loans in Hong Kong could double from
their present levels in the next year. Elsewhere in Asia,
the situation is no better. Thailand's corporate debt stands
at about US$191 billion, with almost US$42 billion owed to
foreign creditors. Non-performing loans in Malaysia are estimated
at US$13 billion. Indeed, estimated total bad debt in Asia
comes in at a staggering US$1 trillion.
This is not good news for bankers, who
tend to panic when there's an increase in their number of
non-performing loans. To prevent further losses, these bankers
often take a careful look at their entire loan portfolio.
Companies previously on interest-only loan arrangements are
coaxed or coerced into early principal repayment - under threat
of foreclosure. And if a company has a cashflow problem due
to non-payment from its own debtors, new investments in the
business, or simply mismanagement, it could end up in court.
Such an event often triggers a sudden and devastating decline.
"Once word leaks out that a company is in trouble,"
says Petty, who advises companies on debt management, "your
credit and supplies will stop as it becomes known that you're
a stuck fish flailing around in the water."
Many businesses, especially SMEs, are
already floundering. Two-thirds of the 92,000 SMEs in Singapore
are facing cashflow problems, according to Derek Goh, president
of the city-state's Association of Small and Medium Enterprises.
A recent survey by the Singapore Chinese Chamber of Commerce
and Industry revealed that 3 percent of SMEs had their credit
withdrawn or cancelled and 20 percent had their credit line
reduced. A whopping 55 percent of the respondents said current
interest rates on loans were more than they could afford.
Not surprisingly, 4 percent of the 300 companies surveyed
have closed, 18 percent have cut wages, 21 percent have cut
staff, and 35 percent have reduced the size of operations.
In Hong Kong, the situation is much the same. Denis Lee Wing-kwan,
of the Chinese Manufacturer's Association says 10,000 SMEs
went into liquidation from June to December and another 10,000
will collapse by the Lunar New Year if the credit crunch worsens.
For bigger fish, though, the chance of
survival is better. In October 1997, three months after the
Thai baht began its now infamous downard plunge, Thai Petrochemical
Industry PCL (TPI) - a company with a net profit of US$184
million in the third quarter of 1998 against a US$900 million
loss the previous year - suspended repayment of principal
and interest on its debts. Wachirapunthu Promprasert joined
TPI one month before the suspension specifically to help restructure
the enormous US$3.2 billion debt owed to 148 local and foreign
creditors. The deal now on the table involves a debt-equity
swap which will give creditors a 30 percent stake, and a postponement
of interest and principal repayment for the next five years.
But the deal is as much about Asian versus Western business
practices as it is about the bottom line. And for Wachirapunthu,
that means standing firmly - and precariously - with one foot
on either side of the creditors and his boss to try and reach
a consensus. "Someone has to say yes," he says quite
cheerfully. "If everyone says no, the middleman is dead."
After 18 months of negotiations, Wachirapunthu
is still among the living. TPI's creditors, which include
Citibank, Bank of America, and Chase Manhattan Bank, have
yet to say yes to the proposal, however. One US bank official
complains that lenders, not owners, should have first claim
when a company goes bust. TPI's CEO Prachai Leophairatana
argues that the idea of foreclosure, "a Western oddity,"
is unfair. Even with pressure from the IMF and the World Bank,
Thailand's debt restructuring system is largely unchanged.
And proposed new bankruptcy laws remain just that - proposed.
Prachai, who is also a senator in Thailand's parliament, has
reportedly joined forces with other lawmakers and businessmen
to block the passage of a new law that would allow bankers
to enforce bankruptcy judgements by foreclosing on assets.
In the meantime, it's business as usual.
Without the burden of loan repayments, TPI has returned to
positive cashflow. As for its creditors, Wachirapunthu admits
some are angry, frustrated and un-comfortable. "But I
would like to stress that to achieve debt restructuring the
relationship has to be positive. It doesn't mean that the
creditor will support the company 100 percent," he says.
"That's not the case - it is a bad time. But we don't
want a bad time either. Actually, we're more eager to have
a good time than the creditors." If the deal goes through,
and Wachirapunthu insists approval is just a formality, it
raises an interesting question: what if your CEO isn't a member
of parliament? The odds are you'll get to know your local
debt collector.
"I don't like
your manner." "I'm not selling it."
- Audrey Trotter to Robert Montgomery in Lady in the Lake
Debt collectors have one thing in common
with postmen - dogs don't like them. Nor, for that matter,
do debtors. The collections industry suffers from an image
problem that is, perhaps, not entirely justified. A lot of
CFOs have a defensive attitude toward collections agencies,
says Bobby Rozario, director of risk management at Hong Kong's
Communication Business Consulting, but the relationship doesn't
have to be confrontational. "Just deal with us like you
would with any other company instead of thinking that the
triads are going to come and break your arms." The truth
is, if you're less than frank in what you tell debt collectors,
they'll soon find out. They have heard every excuse. They
know every trick. They have all the time in the world. And
while you won't be subjected to violence, at least not from
a legitimate agent, you will find new meaning in the word
relentless.
Managers at companies that owe money typically
have stock replies, says Rozario: 'I promise I will pay';
'I have already paid'; and 'I don't have to pay this.' The
first is easy, he says. "When they promise to pay, you
tell them when. And if they don't pay, you follow up and follow
up - you never let them go." The second requires only
a brief check. And in the third case, if they dispute the
claim, that's when a collector earns his percentage. Rozario
says the key is to show that the consequence for not paying
is worse than paying. In the debt collection business, this
is known as leveraging. For example: a company owes US$500,000.
That company has US$5 million worth of property listed on
its balance sheet. If the company doesn't pay, it ends up
in court. The creditor will get a judgement and a charging
order. In a falling property market, the creditor might wait
until the market hits bottom, then charge the property, plus
interest, plus legal fees, plus any compensation they can
get. Result: the company risks losing US$5 million on a US$500,000
claim.
Not surprisingly, claims against bad debts
are up about 30 percent in 1998 in Asia and the collection
industry itself is booming. Debt recovery rates, however,
are lower than in 1997. The problem: a CFO may have all the
will in the world to pay off or service the company's debt,
but without sufficient cash, it doesn't matter. In today's
bleak economy, that means there is considerable room for negotiation.
Deborah Ho, Dun & Bradstreet's director of receivable
management services in Hong Kong, says that creditors are
generally willing to accept longer repayment schedules - some
as long as three to five years. "They see it as better
than nothing," she says. Ho also says there's an increase
in the number of debtors who say they will pay if - and when
- Dun & Bradstreet can collect on their own overdue accounts
receivables. Others will offer goods or merchandise in lieu
of cash, says Ho. If the creditor won't accept them, Dun &
Bradstreet will find a buyer. Debtors who have cash, though,
usually are persuaded to hand it over when threatened with
blacklisting or, worse, a ratings downgrade by Dun & Bradstreet's
powerful rating agency, Moody's Investors Services. "It
[Moody's] is an important source of power when collecting
debt," says Lo.
"When
a fellow says, 'It ain't the money but the principle of the
thing,' it's the money." -
Unknown
For a lot of finance managers, the
experience of unmanageable and overwhelming
debt is new. Few companies set out to incur debt without the
intention of repaying it. For debtors who wish to pay but
have insufficient means, there appear to be a few options.
Some companies simply renege on the amount owed. Others ask
that the debt be forgiven in part or in whole. Still others
restructure the debt with a different payment and time scheme.
And a great many companies actually do repay the debt in full,
often by implementing cost-cutting measures and working capital
management that wrings cash from their operations.
Of course, corporations - struggling or
otherwise - can also be creditors, whether to vendors, suppliers
or customers. A recent survey by the Hong Kong Export Credit
Insurance Corp. (ECIC) revealed that more than two-thirds
of exporters said they'd experienced difficulties getting
trading partners to repay credits in the last three years.
As a result, 28 percent of those exporters have simply stopped
trading on credit.
That may not be the best approach. According
to the ECIC's commissioner Thomas Yiu, the solution is not
to cut off credit, but rather to protect against losses through
better credit management. One strategy is to outsource debt
recovery. This lets someone else be the bad guy and maintains
a company's relationship with suppliers and vendors.
Take Joseph Lee. Lee, the director and
finance officer for disaster recovery firm Steamatic Hong
Kong Limited, says he's used a debt collection agency more
than a dozen times in the past year. Being owed money, says
Lee, is a depressing and worrying thing, even if the debt
isn't always crucial to the company's survival. "Some
debtors complain about turning over their debts to a collector,"
he says, "but I just tell them it's too late now. You
shouldn't have thrown our notice letters in the rubbish bin."
Remarkably, Lee says that 90 percent of the company's debts
have been recovered in full within two weeks.
Corporate creditors whose cash needs are
even more pressing might consider factoring. Factoring differs
from debt collection in that a company receives cash up front
from a collection agency, typically an advance of up to 80
percent of the debtor's balance. In return, the creditor agrees
to pay the agency a fee, typically between 5 to 8 percent
of the debtor's book. "The idea is you sacrifice some
claims to cash in order to stay afloat in the short term,"
says Hong Kong University's Petty. For companies with a lot
of debt and uncertain payment schedules, factoring can shorten
the operating cycle by providing cash in as little as 24 hours
instead of 90 days. That means companies can take advantage
of purchase discounts elsewhere that effectively cancel out
the cost of factoring. It also gives a greater certainty and
predictability to cashflows. Says Petty: "It's not profitability
that keeps companies going. It's liquidity management and
solvency issues that keep companies afloat."
"When I have
nothing to do at night and I can't think, I always iron my
money."
"What do you press when you're broke?"
"When I'm broke, I press my pants." -
Robert Mitchum to Jane Russell in His Kind of Woman
We'll call him Mr. Chan. He wears a suit
cut straight from a tailor's dream and speaks with a voice
as soft as sponge cake. For all that, he is obviously ill
at ease and anxious to keep a low profile. With good reason.
Mr. Chan has come to CFO Asia's offices because his own place
of business is under siege. Caught in the banks' credit squeeze,
his company was unable to find financing for new projects
in an industry that is dependent on credit for its survival.
It has been almost a year to the day since his firm called
a bankers' meeting to inform them that business, to put it
mildly, was bad. On the day of the announcement, Chan, as
director of the publicly listed contractor with close to US$130
million in sales in 1997, saw his business deteriorate almost
overnight. Since then, he has filled his days with seemingly
endless meetings. "It is still a very heavy workload.
I'm constantly at meetings with bankers, creditors, lawyers
and accountants - it's very unpleasant," he complains.
Unpleasant, but a duty that must be performed.
Chan explains that with no sales and no operations his sole
function is to get as much money back to the creditors as
possible. His first move, after breaking news of the company's
difficulties, was to hire a financial consultant - with money
borrowed from friends and relatives. He notes with some regret
that not many managers in the region, himself included, have
experience in a company that's going down. Therefore, he laments,
his choice of financial advisor may not have been the best.
Since the advisor's main motivation is to earn a fee based
on billable hours, Chan says it is in the advisor's best interests
to drag the proceedings out. Initially, Chan's main interest
in hiring the consultant was to find a white knight for the
company. But he cautions that here, too, the consultant may
have another agenda. "He may have friends in the same
field as your firm who are looking to pick up a company cheaply."
Luckily for Chan, it appears a rescuer
has been found. If the deal is finally finished, Chan says
his first feeling will be of relief and the second, concern
that he will be without a job and without money. "Maybe
I could get a job as a financial consultant after all this
experience. After all, at least they get their fees up front."

Steven Crane is a senior writer at
CFO Asia. |