| PERFORMANCE MATRIX |
February
2004 |
PROFIT LEGENDS
How Asia's top CFOs are perfecting
the fine art of expanding margins.
By Abe De Ramos
It may be the good fortune that the Year
of the Monkey is tipped to deliver. Or perhaps, the gravity-defying
9.9 percent economic growth that China achieved last quarter.
Whatever the reason, Mary Ma has not been this optimistic
in more than two years. "The market is slightly picking up,"
she says, echoing a view that has been appearing more frequently
in business pages in the region. And for the CFO of Legend
Group, which sells computer products in the Middle Kingdom,
the silver lining means that a change in business strategy
is in order. "The environment is different; now we can push
for revenue growth higher than market growth," says Ma.
Brave words, those. But with
good luck and macroeconomics, the target may well be easily
achieved. In fact, Legend could do well even if the market
disappoints, if it's able to sustain the performance it showed
in a Bain & Co survey of Asia's best profit performers based
on four financial metrics.
Conducted exclusively for
CFO Asia, the survey showed Legend growing its revenues, earnings,
margins, and return on assets from 2000 to 2002 - the toughest
two years in the sector. Legend, after all, used the period
of slow growth to improve its profitability, and the steps
it has taken to achieve this are the reason why Ma can afford
to look ahead with such confidence.
Legend is one of a robust
few. Of the 150 listed companies surveyed - all being the
top five by revenues in four sectors or the top five overall
- only 34 made the cut. (See boxes.) Of those, the majority
were found to have initiated programs aimed specifically at
profit-hunting. Says Oliver Stratton, vice president at Bain
in Hong Kong, who led the survey: "Companies that substantially
improve margins often use profit hunt programs."
Profit what? It's a phrase
the US consulting firm uses to describe a systematic approach
to boost revenues and reduce costs. Companies often resort
to these moves in a downturn, and those that emerged in the
survey are no exception. While their goal is the same, they
mostly took divergent paths to get there. Some reduced distribution
costs, squeezed their suppliers, or cut internal costs through
attrition or salary reduction. All, however, made a bid at
revenue enhancement. But instead of stimulating sales at the
expense of margins, they focused their efforts on their core
businesses, and reaped immediate results. And as Ma likes
to believe, they are now in a better position to ride the
coming tide of recovery.
Soul Searching
For Legend, which has been
battling with competition from domestic and foreign brands,
one thing was clear. "The PC has become a commodity, so we
had to emphasize differentiation of our products," says Ma.
It was a step the company desperately needed to do, as its
margins flirted with disaster. For five years until the fiscal
year ending March 2002, Legend's EBIT margin - the ratio of
earnings before interest and taxes to sales - averaged at
a razor-thin 0.6 percent, according to an estimate by investment
bank UBS. Efforts to reverse this began in 2001, when Ma increased
allocation for research and development (R&D) from next to
nothing to about 1 percent of revenues.
Although a pittance compared
to global peers, that amount proved enough for Legend to introduce
a series of innovative desktop and notebook computers (which
currently make up 85 percent of total sales) beginning late
2001. These ranged from dual-mode consumer desktops (set boxes
that can function both as a conventional PC as well as a multimedia
center) to corporate models that provide security such as
platform verification. "In a nutshell, Legend is now leading
the herd with its unique designs and special features," says
Florence Cheung, analyst at Sun Hung Kai Research, in a recent
report.
But product innovation was
only half the story. Legend coupled its newfound interest
in R&D with an equal eagerness to understand the buying patterns
of customers. While the company had two clear target markets
- consumer and corporate - its customer segmentation didn't
go deep enough. In 2001, Legend hired Gallup, a market research
firm, to conduct an intensive, nationwide customer survey
to better understand demand. "If we were to differentiate
our products, we had to serve individual customer segments,"
says Ma. "We realized that consumers have different requirements,
and even among corporations the needs of small, medium, large,
and private entities differed," says Ma.
The result led to a radical
change not just in its product models but also in its distribution
system. For example, Legend found that low-end and first-time
computer users in China were unwilling to spend anywhere near
8,000 renminbi for a basic unit. As such, it introduced entry-level
computers for less than 4,000 renminbi. At the same time,
it found it could command premiums by offering multi-year
warranties to high-end consumers who chose to customize their
desktops. Although local competitors offered similar models
at similar prices, buyers gravitated towards Legend's brand
name.
Surprised by how highly its
brand was perceived, Legend narrowed its consumer distribution
to chain stores and department stores in major cities, away
from the previous model of an extensive network. That model,
too, was previously applied to small- and medium-sized enterprises
(SMEs) in major cities. Not anymore. Many of these businesses
are actually emerging in second-tier cities where Legend has
a limited direct presence. There, both entrepreneurs and consumers
"needed services as much as the machines themselves, because
they didn't know how to use them," says Ma. As such, it abandoned
its direct model in the provinces and replaced it with a wider
network of regional partners.
The partnership model enabled
the company to cover a larger area than it had before, while
at the same time offering Legend-trained services to SMEs
(under which is included the rural education sector). For
Ma, it was also cost-efficient. "It would have been very costly
if we set up our own team to serve, say, 150 schools in Anhui
province in the middle of China," says Ma. The effort paid
off. Its market share in the SME sector is 32 percent nationwide,
better than its total market share of around 28 percent.
Its direct distribution
model for large corporations remained unchanged. What changed,
however, is its aggressiveness in selling its products. Until
recently, Legend's servers were snubbed by corporate users.
"They would say, 'We'll buy your desktop, but we want IBM
servers,' because they didn't believe we have the technology
to produce servers," says Ma. Encouraged by its R&D advances,
Legend created what would become one of the world's 25 fastest
supercomputers. On top of that, it seeded an IT consulting
business, to boost its image and break into the high-margin
server market.
Ma believes a combination
of these efforts prevented competitors, including foreign
brands Dell and HP Compaq, from eating away Legend's market
share, which it allowed to stagnate at year 2000 level while
it focused on margin enhancement. Better still, in the year
to March 2004, Legend is expected to make HK$1.3 billion in
profits, from HK$1 billion last year. Its EBIT margin should
improve to 5.4 percent from 4.9 percent - a far cry from the
days when its products offered little value-added. As CFO,
Ma is quick to add that at the back of this achievement is
a remuneration system tied to a performance index that includes
sales, profit, and profit margin..
Smarter Times
In fact, a change in the
remuneration system could be a force in driving profit hunt
programs, as SmarTone Telecommunications learned. Until 2000,
the Hong Kong-based company was a loss-making, run-of-the-mill
mobile phone operator and wannabe internet service provider.
When a new management took over in 2001, they decided to change
its fortunes and focus on a growing trend in telecommunications.
It was something the staff was new to, and which executive
director Patrick Chan says required that ever-enigmatic paradigm
shift. What better way to implement a "re-centering program"
that aims to "change the corporate culture and mindset" than
by hitting them where it matters most: their paychecks?
Prior to 2001, SmarTone rewarded
its employees like many other Asian companies do: across-the-board
year-end bonuses regardless of profit performance. That was
later scrapped. "One area of re-centering was exactly that:
changing the remuneration, bonuses, and commission [policies]
to [prompt] behavioral change," says Chan. Now, Chan estimates
that only 40 percent of bonuses are based on targets, while
the rest is based on individual behavior that gives high points
for initiative and productivity.
Chan credits the remuneration
scheme for helping SmarTone save on staff costs, which, along
with the divestment of certain assets, helped bring back the
company to profitability in just a year. But more importantly,
it may also spell the performance of SmarTone's profit growth
strategy going forward. "What we have been doing is focus
on data services," he says. "Content operation and content
design is a new business for mobile operators, and for us
to do it, the whole company had to change its mindset."
In concrete terms, that
meant giving up the non-core internet and satellite businesses,
and abandoning a marketing strategy that promoted low-margin
voice traffic. Instead, the company decided to promote the
use of data, or text and graphics-based services, through
mobile phones and handheld computers. "Voice has become a
commodity and more increasingly we see data becoming important
for mobile companies," says Chan. This is where the so-called
paradigm shift comes in. Because the use of data services
depends heavily on ease-of-use, SmarTone began to see itself
less as a technology company, and more as a service company.
"Radio network and
core networks are just part of the chain and there's little
we can do about it," says Chan. "Where an operator can make
a lot of difference is in the service network - content operation
and design - so you can maximize [data traffic]." As such,
SmarTone designed its data services - including e-mail, news
and information, and text and picture messages - such that
users are able to download or exchange data with as few clicks
or scrolls on their keypads as possible. On the surface, it
sounds like an elementary effort. But getting the interface
right could be the basis of whether the measures SmarTone
is taking to improve margins and generate profits will succeed.
Data services, for one, are
more frequently used by business users and high-end consumers,
and this is where SmarTone has focused its marketing. For
example, the company has stopped bundling its service plans
with monochrome handsets whose dark screens make it unappealing
to input and read text messages, and are incapable of multimedia
messaging (MMS). "Our competitors are still pushing outdated
black-and-white handsets with no MMS," says Chan. "They can
lock in customers, but they're limiting the ability of customers
to use data services, and in effect, their own revenue potential."
Analysts at investment bank
Lehman Brothers agree. "Rather than copying subsidies on low-end
phones, SmarTone is promoting a HK$800 discount on the retail
price of its high-end flagship terminal," they say in a December
report, referring to a 3G-ready handset. For now, it is a
sacrifice on margins, but the company "is sending out a strong
message that SmarTone stands for premium service, and É attracts
high-end users keen for data use and willing to spend on telecoms."
For the year ending June 2004, investment bank Morgan Stanley
expects SmarTone to increase its revenues from data services
fivefold to HK$31 million. That should triple next year, and
again in 2006, it says.
Another move SmarTone is
taking is refusing to play the subscriber numbers game. Currently,
Hong Kong has more mobile phone subscribers than it actually
has people. That's because since the start of last year, some
operators have been giving away one free SIM card, with at
least HK$100 in credit, for every new subscriber they enlist.
"We don't talk about customer numbers as such; we're after
a better class of customers, and that means higher ARPU (average
revenue per user)," says Chan.
As of end-June 2003, its
blended ARPU rose 7 percent from a year ago to HK$183. Morgan
Stanley expects the figure to inch up to HK$189 by June this
year. (Comparative figures are unavailable, as other operators
disclose only post-paid ARPU.) SmarTone's handset subsidies
are also lower than competitors. "Management is clearly lifting
its marketing skills," says Lehman Brothers, which projects
SmarTone to increase growth of its subscriber base, currently
about 1 million, from 16 percent last year to 19 percent by
2007.
Good Call
In Singapore, mobile phone
provider MobileOne is also reaping the benefits of a customer-focused
strategy to stay profitable despite the Lion City's prolonged
economic slowdown. CFO Karen Kooi points to M1's churn rate
- or the ratio of subscribers who terminate their subscriptions
- to demonstrate this. Like Legend, the company had undertaken
a comprehensive survey on usage trends. The result was a company-wide
customer relationship management (CRM) program that Kooi credits
for helping M1 achive a good rate of retention.
In 2003, M1 saw its average
monthly churn rate fall to 1.8 percent, from 2.2 percent in
2002 and 2.3 percent in 2001. This helped M1 reduce its customer
acquisition cost - the average cost of signing up one subscriber,
which includes handset subsidies, marketing, and advertising
- to S$156 in 2003 from S$183 in 2002. Currently, M1 has just
above 1 million subscribers in a city of 4 million, making
it a serious threat to state-run Singapore Telecom.
The company needs all the
savings it can get, as it is about to roll out 3G services
in the second half of the year. To this end, Kooi says the
CRM program is constantly being enhanced, as it is on the
forefront of its customer retention strategy. The program
is powered by a software system that makes customer information
accessible to all relevant "touch-points", or departments
within M1, from finance to sales to call centers.
The program, among other
things, tracks customer behavior and does two things vital
to customer retention: churn prediction and delinquency prediction.
"They help us understand our customers, which is why we have
a whole suite of tailored retention offers," Kooi says. "We
segment customers based on their needs, rather than their
demographics."
The segmentation begins with
market surveys and focus groups, and narrows down to customer
profiles based on usage patterns and interface with M1 shops
or call centers. "We know how they use their mobile phones,
how much they spend, how often they pay, how long they have
stayed with us, and if they want to churn, why they want to
churn," says Kooi. By "we", she means everyone who has access
to the CRM system, where all the information is stored on
the customers' pages.
Kooi illustrates how the
CRM system is used: "When we do our customer delinquency prediction,
[the credit department] rates the customer accordingly, and
that information is then put into the customer's record. When
my CSO (customer service officer) deals with that customer,
who might ask to hold off credit action, the CSO, without
referring back to the credit control staff, can decide whether
or not they can accede to that request. Likewise, when my
credit action people want to go in and review a case, they
would have a view of what has taken place between the CSO
and the customer, and what action has been taken."
Similarly, when the profile
shows a customer is about to churn, M1 then offers the subscriber
a package tailored for their profile - say, an MMS package
for those that heavily use picture messaging. How does M1
predict a churn? One obvious factor is when a customer inquires
about when his or her handset contract is about to expire.
"We have analyzed hundreds of factors, which we then narrowed
down to the more relevant ones," she says. "We continue to
monitor the accuracy of the prediction tools, and so far it's
been proven to be quite accurate."
Along with customer retention,
M1, like SmarTone, has shifted its focus to non-voice revenue,
which currently accounts for 15 percent of its ARPU. This
will help the company better market its 3G services, the core
attraction of which is high-speed data transmission, including
video clips. Overall, the company was able to increase its
EBITDA margin from mobile services to 45 percent in 2003,
from 42 percent in 2002.
Vertical Horizon
The need to respond to customer
needs to command better margins is not lost on Wong Ngit Long,
managing director at contract manufacturer Venture Corp. Wong
knows the company, which specializes in networking equipment,
printers, and computer peripherals, had to act as contract
manufacturing became a cottage industry in the late 1990s.
So from 2000 to 2002, he drove the company to change its business
model to include not just contract manufacturing but also
original design manufacturing (ODM) and vertical integration.
That means the company does
not just offer manufacturing services, but now also a package
of services from product design and prototyping, to fulfillment
and reverse logistics (which, in turn, includes repair and
maintenance, and disposal support). The transition was not
all that difficult, says Wong, because Singapore has a sufficient
supply of technical skills, which Venture has been building
up over the years.
As such, Venture was able
to combine both advanced skills with low-cost manufacturing.
"In this industry, prices of products [required for production]
always go down, so the strategy is to make sure that you can
creatively improve your performance, double your performance
with lower cost," says Wong.
The ODM business, which now
accounts for 11 percent of revenues, allowed Venture to command
higher prices. At the same time, Venture focused not on getting
high-volume orders from multiple customers, but on getting
low-volume, high-mix, orders. That means products with various
applications, lot sizes and production processes. Wong hasn't
turned Venture's back on high-volume orders, but says these
products must require a high technical content. In short,
Venture used the time of slowdown to focus on higher-value
products that require advanced technical skills, which Venture
already had.
"It's consistent with
our overall growth strategy to expand on the value chain and
expand on market segment," says Wong. "We want a more diversified
growth, and we're one of the strongest companies not just
in high-volume, but also in high-mix business." Wong has the
figures to prove it. From 2000 to 2001, Venture's revenues
were flat at S$1.4 billion, but profit after tax grew 34 percent,
to S$134 million. In 2002, revenues grew 65 percent to S$2.37
billion, and profits another 34 percent to S$181 million.
That final set of figures
slightly disappointed analysts, as it shows that profit growth
lagged behind. Indeed, even with its new business model, Venture
can only avert a potential margin erosion as competition catches
up quickly. Citigroup Smith Barney analyst Pratik Gupta, in
a report published in November, notes that Venture will register
an EBIT margin of 7.2 percent in 2003, from 8.2 percent in
2002. That will stabilize to 7.1 percent in 2004 and 7 percent
in 2005. Adds Sunil Gupta of Morgan Stanley: "The biggest
concern regarding Venture has always been its ability to sustain
high revenue and profit growth É We believe the margin compression
trend will continue."
That only made Wong draw
from the margin-enhancing strategies up his sleeves. In the
second quarter of last year, Venture went into more lucrative
areas such as automotive parts and medical equipment manufacturing.
"We're upbeat about its forays into new high-margin segments,"
says Gupta of Citigroup. "Venture's strong - and growing -
design skills across various segments with a premier customer
base and high manufacturing efficiency in low-cost regions
should enable strong growth prospects going forward."
Time to Evolve
Of course, no one can be
sure how long those high margins will last, given the growing
competition especially in the technology sector. Back at Legend,
CFO Mary Ma is trying to address the issue. It's only a matter
of time before competitors replicate Legend's product and
distribution models. As such, the company's new thrust, while
technology spending continues, is to capitalize on its brand
by diversifying into products literally adjacent to its core
computer products - consumer goods that require interface
with computers such as MP3 players, digital cameras, and printers.
"We will be aggressive
on revenue growth," says Ma. That kind of statement suggests
sacrificing profits for market share, and indeed, Ma knows
that the consumer products offer low margins. But Legend is
thinking long-term; its goal now is to create brand affinity,
and as conventional wisdom goes, brands command premiums.
Also, Legend isn't making these products itself, but is outsourcing
them. The reason? It doesn't want to invest in R&D on these
products, because it wants to stay focused on its strength:
computers. "We can't really apply the same strategy to every
product, because that will dilute our strength," she says.
And, of course, as her market survey showed, a little TLC
with customers won't hurt. As Ma sums up: "The strategy for
2004 is push the core business, continue differentiating our
products, and invest in customer relations."
Abe De Ramos is executive editor of
CFO Asia.
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