| CORPORATE FINANCE |
September
2003 |
THE BEST OF BOTH WORLD
China Southern Airlines plots a very
different course through a cloud of accounting systems.
By Yang Jian
China's transition from a state-owned
to a market-oriented economy has been remarkable for its speed.
But one side effect of the headlong race has been that new
accounting systems mingle with the old, and the whole business
of reporting can seem ambiguous in the extreme. From a CFO's
point of view, the fuzziness is a burden - or a distinct benefit.
Take some careful timing plus an even more careful selection
of accounting options, add a pinch of deft juggling, and you
can significantly improve the performance of a local-market
offering.
That is precisely the recipe CFO Xu Jiebo
followed for China Southern Airlines' Rmb1 billion (US$121
million) A-share offering in Shanghai. The ride to market
in July was turbulent but ultimately very satisfactory and
it remains an object lesson on how to turn accounting diversity
to a company's advantage.
And diverse it certainly is. Currently
in China, there appear to be three ways that a company can
opt to report if it lists in the A-share market. These include
China's old style of reporting for individual sectors handed
down by the state in 1993, newer rules based on International
Accounting Standards (IAS) but adapted for China's home market,
called Accounting Standards for Business Enterprises (ASBE),
and, as witnessed by the case presented here, a mixture of
several options involving picking those that put the company's
net profits and asset size to best advantage (see box for
accounting definitions).
Just to add to the confusion, different
accounting models are used even within a single industrial
sector. The aviation industry is a prime example, in large
part because of the way its different finance chiefs handle
the thorny problem of asset depreciation.
Airplanes and re-usable parts (called
rotable parts in industry jargon) such as turbines and pumps
necessarily make up the bulk of an airline's assets but they
are given widely different depreciable lives under different
accounting standards. Airline operators with a shareholding
structure are using ASBE in their depreciation calculations
while others are still using accounting policies promulgated
by the Civil Aviation Administration of China (CAAC). And
then there is Xu Jiebo and China Southern, which is on a very
different flight path.
China Southern is no parvenu in the world
of equity financing; it pulled off a dual listing in Hong
Kong and New York in 1997. But timing, coupled with an absence
of red ink on the books, were crucial to getting a sweet deal
in Shanghai this July. The first, most obvious hurdle was
that the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) normally
requires companies to be profitable before listing. No problem
there, according to the company's CFO, but analysts - already
jittery about the effect of such a heavyweight issue on a
more-or-less stagnant A-share market - were less sanguine
about the company's end-of-year figures.
Despite a forecast of Rmb202.60 million
in profit for 2003, they suspected that China Southern might
well end the year in the red because it was hit hard by the
Sars outbreak. After all, the company suffered a loss of Rmb218.66
million in the first four months of 2003 because of Sars.
However, the CSRC decided to give the company the benefit
of the doubt and approved its listing application thus saving
it the embarrassment of launching the issue after disclosing
losses for the first half in the interim report.
After approval, China Southern didn't
dawdle; it launched the A-Share issue 6 days later on July
10. The timing was perfect because, despite CFO Xu's confidence
in China Southern's profit prospects, one thing was certain:
if his company hadn't listed when it did and it had to report
a loss at the end of year, there would have been no A-share
listing in 2004. "It is against the Securities Law to allow
a money-losing company [in a full year] to get listed," explains
Tang Qian, a Shenyin Wanguo Securities analyst of China's
aviation industry. The timing, however, would have been nothing
without Xu Jiebo and China Galaxy Securities, the main underwriter
of China Southern's A-share issue, and the deft use they made
of accounting policies to interpret China Southern's financial
results over the past three years beginning 2000.
Since the company was issuing shares on
the domestic market, it was supposed to comply with the ASBE
when reporting. However, a comparison between the accounting
polices it adopted when preparing the statements with those
used by its domestic peers reveals that the company was actually
following IAS rules in its treatment of such important items
as the depreciation of aircraft, engines and major rotable
parts. In addition, China Southern adjusted the accounting
policies in line with IAS on the following items: aircraft
and aircraft overhaul costs, major rotable parts maintenance
costs, provisions for account receivables, basis of consolidation,
deferred taxation and leased assets.
A word of explanation is required here:
although ASBE is based on IAS, it still deviates from the
principles of the "parent" code in several important areas,
including amortization of intangible assets, capitalization
of interest and revaluation of land use rights. The reason
that China Southern opted to pick and choose between the two
codes is no mystery given the ultimate effect: a healthier
statement of net profit after the multiple adjustments were
made. The company's 2002 net profits provide an illustration.
Using IAS only, net profits are Rmb575.76. Using ASBE, which
it had to do, but with selective choosing of IAS for several
individual categories, net profits are a somewhat more modest
Rmb513.35 million.
Despite the disparity of the figures,
holders of A-shares in China and those of international shares
are getting roughly the same numbers. But if China Southern
used the CAAC's method of reckoning, there would be a gaping
disparity between its reporting to international investors
and domestic investors. Under the code designed for China's
aviation sector - and used still by other airlines - the company's
2002 net profits would be sharply lower at Rmb212.30 million.
Meantime, its earnings per share (EPS) last year would nosedive
to Rmb0.06 from Rmb0.15.
The CSRC has never explicitly set a ceiling
on the P/E ratio for domestic companies launching IPOs. However,
it is widely believed among industry insiders that these days
the market watchdog does not allow companies to issue shares
during IPOs on the domestic market at prices above 20 times
their earning per share in the previous year. If that is the
case, without making the accounting policy adjustments in
line with IAS principles, China Southern would have been able
to raise only a maximum of Rmb1 billion by floating 1 billion
A-Shares. With the adjustments made, China Southern managed
to raise Rmb2.7 billion by selling its 1 billion A-Shares
at Rmb2.7 per share, a price 18 times its 2002 EPS of Rmb0.15.
To be fair, China Southern has good
reasons to adjust its accounting polices in accordance with
IAS-based codes. The government, after all, has decreed that
all companies, with a few exceptions, must conform to ASBE
rules by the time they report in 2005, and these are based,
by and large, on IAS. And no one has said the approach is
in error - or illegal. CFO Xu is confident. He argues that
the depreciable life of aircraft and major rotable parts China
Southern has made for its fleet are based on the real situation.
"According to our past experiences, the residual value of
our aircraft has been above 28.75%," he insists. 
Yang Jian is a senior writer for CFO
China based in Shanghai.
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