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TECHNOLOGY July / August 2003

BUYER BE AWARE
Overbuying and elusive ROI measures plague CRM, yet customers continue to sign on. Clearly, it's not all bad news.
By Alix Nyberg and Adam Lincoln

Looking for like-minded souls only too keen to lament the impossibility of achieving ROI on customer relationship management (CRM) software? Steer clear of the executive team at OCBC's Consumer Financial Services Division. Recently, the Singapore-based group, which boasts customers across Asia and as far afield as the US and UK, came clean on the outcome of a CRM project that began nearly three years ago. The aim was classic CRM - to provide sales and service staff with a unified view of the customer during every interaction - and the results could not be much better. In short, the bank has evolved capabilities in new market segments, realized drastic efficiencies on a raft of customer-related indicators, and made financial savings to boot.

It didn't happen overnight, but it did happen. In September 2000, OCBC introduced a CRM solution from Seibel to more than 700 sales and customer service staff, working across multiple channels at 70 locations. The initial deployment was rolled out in two phases. The first integrated the bank's physical branches, mobile sales force, and call centers across the island republic. Further work culminated in an inbound call center project going live in March this year. Together, the projects automated and streamlined several critical business processes - such as customer referrals, information retrieval, feedback escalation, and campaign management. In May, the company reported operational savings of more than US$2.3 million a year.

If that seems like a drop in the ocean for a company with assets of US$49 billion, OCBC has plenty of other reasons to crow. Insurance application processing time has been cut from three days to one minute. Information retrieval time has been slashed from 12 minutes to an average two minutes per customer. Customer referral times have been shortened from 45 minutes to two minutes. And feedback escalation time has accelerated from five minutes to just 60 seconds. These "soft" measures have had a very real impact on the bottom line. Staff are better able to identify opportunities to cross-sell and up-sell complementary products and services, helping the bank snatch market leadership in bancassurance products and new housing loans, and develop sizeable unit trust activity. Today, revenues from the consumer division make up 76 percent of the bank's total earnings, up from 24 percent before the software went live.

Spoiled for Choice

In some respects, OCBC had it easy. It was able to use an industry-specific suite of software from the recognized market leader in CRM software. "Siebel offered one single package that was tailored to the banking sector and could meet our specific needs," concedes Lee Ee Ling, head of strategic marketing for OCBC Consumer Financial Services. But for many, the decision-making process is bewildering. Because it's nearly impossible to draw precise boundary lines around technology categories, companies that sell software are often free to ride the wave of whatever three-letter acronym happens to be hot at the moment. As a result, a panoply of software products continues to crowd into the CRM market. Many of these products are only indirectly related to CRM's ostensible goal of getting customers to buy more and stay loyal, and many hail from no-longer-trendy niches, and now seek shelter under the CRM umbrella. Differentiating among all those huddled bodies can be a buyer's nightmare.

A recent series of surveys focusing on various CRM products by US-based research firm Gartner, for example, included software to manage partner relationships and employee bonuses, two technology categories that once stood proudly on their own. Meanwhile, companies that make CRM software are expanding their offerings in all directions. SalesForce.com, for example, made its name with sales-force automation but now boasts that its new online application development tool, sforce, will let information-technology staff build complementary non-CRM software, including project, document, and asset-management systems. Complicating buying decisions even further is the fact that many companies overbought in the past. Gartner found that 42 percent of CRM software purchased ended up as unused "shelfware", compared with the standard 20 percent rate across other types of software, often thanks to the lure of deep volume discounts. "Rather than looking at CRM technology as a single thing," says Gartner research vice president Beth Eisenfeld, "the question enterprises should be asking is, 'Which of the many CRM applications should we be implementing?'" Eisenfeld headed Gartner's recent research into the benefits of 14 different types of CRM products, asking companies to rank the tools by their usefulness toward four goals: cost savings, efficiency, effectiveness and competitive advantage.

But those rankings provide few easy answers about what to buy. A sales-force automation tool, for example, probably won't help lower costs or provide a competitive advantage, Eisenfeld points out, "but it's like the foundation of a house - you need it in order to open and shut doors." Meanwhile, e-service technologies like email routing can save money, but may actually harm the business if customers bolt when they can't get a live person to help them. Analysts say that the effectiveness of specific categories of CRM depends on a company's business model. "If you sell primarily through a distribution channel, then PRM [partner relationship management] becomes important, while if you sell via the web, e-commerce tools will be more important," says Denis Pombriant, vice president of CRM research at Aberdeen Group. "But I wouldn't say that sales tools work better for the sales team than marketing tools do for marketing staff. It really just depends on what you need."

Pombriant recently tested user satisfaction with three broad categories of CRM tools: sales, marketing, and customer service. CRM customers considered productivity the earliest benefit of sales tools, cost control the top boon from customer-service tools, and revenue generation the main benefit for marketing tools. Interestingly, though, the mean scores for each fell within a tight band, ranging from 2.4 for marketing to 2.7 for sales on a scale of 1 to 5. Pombriant interprets the results to mean, generally, that CRM buyers are becoming more discerning. "We've certainly been through the early-adopter phase in the industry, and I think companies are now really understanding what their needs are," he says. Of course, getting a fix on exactly how much benefit accrues from any product is tricky, since few buyers are actually measuring returns in dollar figures. "When I ask our clients if they are achieving ROI, at least 80 percent say yes," says Eisenfeld. "Then I dive down and get all these wishy-washy answers."

More than half of the 653 companies Gartner surveyed in late 2002 claimed to have gotten a return on their CRM investments, but Eisenfeld also takes those claims with a grain of salt; most companies focused exclusively on benefits such as head-count reductions or improved order-processing times but didn't quantify those in monetary terms and then subtract the costs from the benefits to calculate ROI. "Although respondents in our survey claim satisfactory ROI, we estimate approximately 13 percent of them are actually able to cite the ROI they claim," she says, "whereas the rest can only anecdotally claim benefits."

Why are companies so reluctant to track ROI on their CRM investments? Some say that the amounts spent on targeted projects just aren't worth the time spent on post-purchase calculations. US-based Morningstar, which sells stock research, software, and consulting services to mutual funds and big companies with US-style 401(k) pension plans, spent about US$200,000 on Siebel's sales-force automation system 18 months ago to collect and centralize its sales data. "Our costs were so small, I don't even need to track results to know we're getting returns," says Morningstar COO Tao Huang, who led the project. The product has helped the company take a global view of its relationships with multinational customers, he says, allowing it to win additional accounts within those institutions and cross-sell them on other products. Those benefits, along with the others that have accrued from having more accurate, up-to-date sales data in one place, he says, have increased the company's revenues for the unit using CRM by more than 100 percent since implementation.

An emerging area of CRM dubbed customer analytics may further defy ROI analysis. "The analytical pieces are far lower in costs than the operational ones (like contact-management systems)," says Tony LoFrumento, executive director for CRM at Morgan Stanley. "But if you use such software correctly, it affects every decision senior management makes, becoming almost an allocation methodology for how much time and money to spend on each customer." At Morgan Stanley, LoFrumento uses CRM tools from SAS Institute to calculate each customer's profitability and assign service levels accordingly, since "no company today can afford to give red-carpet treatment to everyone." He says the tools have already paid for themselves, based on the service pricing changes the company has implemented and the success of its more targeted cross-selling efforts. His next step, though, is to figure out customers' future profitability, based on their age, assets, and even investing style. Determining such so-called lifetime values of its customers will help Morgan Stanley determine how much to spend on marketing and retention programs. But the methodology seems sketchy at best. For one, the time horizon for such projections is longer than the likely tenure of executives at a customer firm. And the method assumes that customers don't take their business elsewhere.

ROI is similarly elusive when the software in question supports forecasts. Office-supplies giant Staples adopted SAS's analytics software about seven years ago to handle weekly sales forecasts (which now come within one percent of actual sales, on average), and now uses the tool to make decisions about where to locate new stores, how to time marketing efforts, and even which products to place most prominently in stores. "It's hard to quantify all the good things that come from a good recast," says Alan Gordon, director of sales forecasting for Staples. The company saw a 13 percent increase in first-quarter sales and is predicting a pro-forma 20 percent growth in earnings this year, but tracking those revenues back to the CRM tool fell by the wayside long ago, Gordon says.

Is it wise to be so cavalier about such spending? Gartner's Eisenfeld says no. "There is no question in my mind that people are getting benefits with CRM," she says. "But the question is, is the benefit worth the cost?" Eisenfeld believes companies should translate the efficiency and effectiveness gains they expect to get from CRM into potential revenues, and then continue to track returns over the life of a technology. With most annual CRM-maintenance fees ranging from 15 to 23 percent of the initial cost of the software, it may pay to switch.

Aberdeen's Pombriant, however, sees little danger in the lack of rigor. "Who has the time and resources to constantly come back and measure?" he says. "What the marketplace is telling me is that they look at the benefits and impute ROI." In fact, in Aberdeen's recent independent survey of 325 Siebel customers, analysts found that the difference in reported ROI was not statistically significant between those companies that measured ROI and those that estimated it. But that study came on the heels of a report from US-based Nucleus Research that found that more than half of the Siebel customers it surveyed (a very small base of 23 companies) believed they had not made back their investments after an average of two years.

One problem, of course, is that while CRM was initially sold on its revenue-boosting capacities, the weak economy made such gains difficult to come by even if the software adds value. As CRM continues to morph, its ability to drive better decisions and reduce costs now gets more play. That doesn't ease ROI calculations, but it may help customers have more cordial relationships with the vendors that have sold them on the promise of CRM.

Alix Nyberg is staff writer at CFO in Boston, CFO Asia's sister magazine. Additional reporting by Adam Lincoln, contributing editor of CFO Asia.

Mixed Relationships

Technology investment across Asia-Pacific will grow at a compound average growth rate of 30 percent over the next five years, predicts market research firm IDC. CRM software should snatch a sizeable share, with analysts at Frost & Sullivan betting the regional market for customer-focused applications will exceed US$560 million in 2003. That's not to say the vendors aren't being made to work hard for their money. A recent Gartner Group report found that new license revenues fell for the second year in a row in 2002 to US$2.8 billion, a 24.7 percent drop from 2001. The market had already shrunk by 6.4 percent in 2001, over 2000.

It's a far cry from the years leading up to the millennium, when the nascent industry enjoyed growth rates of up to 89 percent. "The reality is that people are basing their decisions on return-on-investment models and are looking for proof of solid returns," says Tom Topolinksi, vice-president for Gartner's worldwide software applications group. Whereas the boom years were marked by big implementations, Topolinksi notes the trend now is for smaller, tactically focused projects, with obvious implications for the size of the market. In response to this fall in demand, some vendors have resorted to price discounting, which has squeezed their own market share as well as the size of the overall market.

Gartner's survey shows US-based Siebel Systems, with 3,500 corporate customers globally, leads the market with a 24.9 percent share. However, this was a 3.6 percent drop in share from 2001. Germany's SAP follows with 15.9 percent; however, this represents a 5 percent increase over 2001 - and indeed SAP was the only company in the top five to make significant gains. US-based PeopleSoft made slight gains at number three, with a 4.3 percent share. Oracle and Amdocs round out the top five, with 4.3 percent and 3.2 percent respectively; both down on the previous year.

If Oracle's bid for PeopleSoft is successful, the pecking order will not, at face value, be altered. But, in time, the market impact might be profound. A study released in June by TheInfoPro, a new research outfit based in New York, reports that of 101 CRM professionals surveyed before Oracle's takeover announcement, almost twice as many were planning to implement either Oracle or PeopleSoft CRM software over Siebel. The report concludes: "The union of Oracle and PeopleSoft could pose a threat to Siebel, because 60 percent of users say that greater integration of CRM with their ERP systems is 'very important'." This must also be music to the ears of SAP, the largest ERP vendor.

No doubt all vendors will be hoping that Asia's corporate community, which has yet to exhaust its potential, will boost flagging sales. While the big names have maintained a presence in the region for several years, of late a raft of smaller players have been making inroads. Last September, US-based Onyx, which already boasted regional customers such as the Hong Kong Trade Development Council and Telekom Malaysia, entered a technology and marketing partnership with Chinese reseller North 22 Solutions. Under the contract, North 22 has tweaked Onyx Enterprise CRM to the cultural and language nuances of the local market. The Onyx software supports Unicode, which enables companies to display multi-lingual text in a single server and database. AL