| PERFORMANCE MATRIX |
March 2003 |
TRUTH AND CONSEQUENCES
How CFOs can raise their corporate
integrity through improved investor relations.
By Abe De Ramos
Marc Faber has an unconventional
investment strategy. Instead of poring over income statements
and scheduling meetings with executives, he prefers speaking
to competitors of companies he's considering investing in.
"I don't care so much about what the company is saying.
I'm going to find out from its competitors, suppliers and
customers what they think of that company," says the
regional investment advisor. To Faber - who has a reputation
for pessimism - the reason is simple: CFOs are incapable of
shooting straight from the shoulder. "You'd be out of
your mind if you thought they would tell you anything close
to the truth."
It's an extreme generalization, but who
can blame him? Yes, there is greater demand for transparency
since the spate of corporate scandals in the US. However,
it has largely bypassed Asia where many local companies have
little or no history of keeping an open-book policy for the
investing community. Analysts and investors, including those
from major research and investment management houses, are
hard-pressed to win an audience with a CFO, even during earnings
announcement periods. And when they do, they complain that
the amount and quality of information they get hardly enables
them to make confident decisions.
In truth, there is a huge gap between
the level and quality of information that finance chiefs are
prepared to give and the information the investing community
thinks it should get. And that gap undermines one of the most
important CFO functions - investor relations. Addressing investors'
concerns is vital, especially at a time when uncertainties
abound. After all, CFOs prepare the financial statements upon
which directors act to determine the course of the company.
As Peter Tse, CFO of Hong Kong electricity provider CLP Holdings,
puts it: "A financial report reflects the integrity of
the board, and the CFO is an important part of it."
In the relatively new world of good corporate
governance in Asia, however, the art of transparency and disclosure
has yet to be perfected. Given such circumstances, the results
of CFO Asia's second Best Annual Reports survey, done in partnership
with Belgium-based reports evaluator Enterprise.com, part
of US-based Corporate Essentials, is hardly surprising. Of
the 144 companies that participated in the survey, only 40
achieved half the maximum score, reflecting the results last
year (see survey
results).
Since the corporate scandals of more than
a year ago, the quality and quantity of information in the
latest annual reports survey has improved, especially in operations
reports and corporate governance structures (notably Thai
companies), says Mike Guillaume, manager of Enterprise. But
for the majority of reports, executive statements ranged from
weak or evasive, to insubstantial or "plainly boastful".
Financial reviews were short, hollow and superficial, while
information on the financial performance of business segments
was inconsistent or incomplete (especially Japanese companies).
Save for a handful of reports, risk analyses were almost non-existent
(see box, "Hits
and Misses").
Fighting Talk
Compounding this lack of transparency
on paper is an investor communications policy that leaves
much to be desired. Comments like the following regularly
turn up in analyst research reports: "Lack of management
comments in the results announcement increased earnings uncertainty:
we have cut our net margin assumptions." But even this
is not strong enough to elicit a reaction from CFOs.
In what has become a vicious cycle, company
executives would only come clean if their lack of transparency
had aroused suspicions that affected their stock price. In
the first two weeks of February 2003, for instance, three
major Hong Kong companies denied market-moving speculations
that could have been prevented if guidance was given sooner.
Sun Hung Kai Properties, a major developer, denied that sales
of a new office building were slow. Great Eagle Holdings dismissed
rumors it would issue shares to fund an ongoing property project.
Then telephone firm PCCW clarified conflicting reports about
its bid to take over British telecoms provider Cable &
Wireless.
These made all-too-familiar headlines
in Asian business pages. Surely, analysts and CFOs - using
the press as a conduit - must be getting tired of this game
of speculation and denial? But arguably, it is the direct
result of a lack of transparency among Asian companies, which
in turn is a reflection of their poor corporate governance.
In an age when investors need better guidance, silence is
a losing battle. "The more disclosure the better; that's
part of being a public company," says Charles Hill, research
director at Thomson Financial/First Call, which publishes
analyst consensus estimates on companies globally. "Let
investors and analysts decide."
As regulators become stricter, CFOs may
not have any choice but to disclose more, and more often.
But where should they begin? In a survey on corporate disclosure,
the US-based Association for Investment Management and Research
ranked the ten most important pieces of information that analysts
and investors need to do their jobs well, but which are not
disclosed fully by CFOs. The association's list includes information
on business segments, forward-looking information such as
strategic and business plans, off-balance sheet assets and
liabilities and explanations of extraordinary charges.
Even in the US, where the Securities and
Exchange Commission is tightening laws on greater disclosure,
"CFOs are learning to follow the spirit of the law, and
not just the letter of the law," says Hill. In the end,
it's up to the individual CFOs, with the support of management
and the board, to improve transparency. Says Sheree Tan, chief
investment officer at Morley Fund Management in Singapore:
"Is transparency just the provision of information required
by law? The attitudes of companies need to change first in
order for transparency to improve."
Law and Order
CFOs of companies that scored well in
this survey can only agree. "No matter how many laws
you put in place, you cannot legislate for integrity,"
says John Poon, CFO of Hong Kong-based clothing retailer Esprit
Holdings. As Esprit has discovered, good governance, even
in its most measurable forms - corporate reports and accessibility
- has its rewards. For Tse of CLP Holdings, it reduces the
volatility of the stock price, which eventually results in
a cheaper cost of capital. For Poon, it has helped double
Esprit's market capitalization in just three years.
Analysts and investors in a growth stock
like the US$1.2 billion annual turnover clothing retailer
(survey score: 3 stars) are more concerned about the company's
outlook, and Poon is trying to turn giving the right information
into a fine art. "People don't buy Esprit for dividends,"
he says. "People buy our stock for its growth and capital
appreciation, so it's important for the investing public to
get a good feel about where we're going." Before investors
ask, Poon already has prepared answers for the following questions:
Realistically, what can we accomplish in the foreseeable future?
How much capital do we have to commit to get there? And what
are the risks associated with that?
They all sound so simple, yet in practice,
these questions hardly ever get answers. In a classic case,
Chartered Semiconductor (survey score: 1 star), a Singaporean
chipmaker, told analysts late last year that it had no immediate
need for cash. But only a week later, the company surprised
the market by announcing a rights issue, sending signals of
financial desperation. Investors panicked, and Chartered's
market capitalization halved almost overnight. Even now, analysts
have yet to find any logic in the move. Some have speculated
that the company might eventually be bought entirely by the
government, its majority shareholder.
One common reason CFOs give for choosing
to be opaque about future strategies is to protect themselves
from having the rug pulled from under them by competitors.
But Robert Eccles, a financial advisor and co-author of the
book Building Public Trust, says: "The whole thing of
providing 'competitive information' is mostly a red herring.
It's an excuse, not a reason." He adds: "Companies
typically know things about their competitors that they don't
think their competitors know about them. More and more information
is available in various ways, so you might as well report
it yourself and make sure it's accurate."
While Poon acknowledges that investors'
demand for detail is insatiable, he also tries to set his
limits. "You don't have to come up with a business plan
with all the financial numbers put into the prospect,"
he explains, "but investors would benefit from our thoughts.
Do we want Esprit to be a single brand business for the next
two years because our capital and human resources are already
fully committed, or do we think the group would be better
served by complementing its growth with acquisitions?"
What CFOs want to avoid, he says, is to over-commit themselves
with goals they may have to backtrack on. "You don't
have to talk about execution, but you can talk about strategy."
So far, he has measured his limits correctly.
Analysts praise Poon for knowing what matters to them, and
some are more than satisfied with his disclosure practices.
"We generally just want an outlook," says Ada Poon
(no relation) of UBS in Hong Kong. "Do they guide you
in terms of outlook, and does it turn out that way? Have they
told you something, but it's turned out not to be the case?
Of course, they can change the plan, but do they tell you
about it?"
As analysts would confirm, few CFOs would
go out of their way to explain an intriguing situation. But
Poon, who joined Esprit in December 1999, has been actively
engaging analysts and investors in dialogue. He claims that
he has not turned down a single request for an analyst or
investor meeting. "When John came along, one of the things
he did differently is that he would read analysts' reports
and call us and try to understand from us what our view was,
where we were coming from," says Poon of UBS. "He
would then explain to us his side."
This active engagement has no doubt helped
Esprit's management in improving its position in the market.
The company's average daily trading volume has multiplied
sixfold in three years, while its market capitalization has
doubled to US$2.5 billion as of mid-February. This, eventually,
led to its inclusion in the Hang Seng Index last December.
Let the Light In
At CLP Holdings (survey score: 3.5 stars),
the entrenched utility has long acknowledged its limited growth
prospects in Hong Kong - a minuscule 2-3 percent annual revenue
growth - and has consequently set its sights on China, India,
and Australia. Because building power plants is a long-term
business that takes up to 15 years before generating returns,
CFO Peter Tse keeps investors interested by highlighting the
risks of overseas businesses, and how those risks are addressed
operationally, through frequent investor communications -
in person, in financial reports, and on CLP's website.
For example, analysts have outlined the
following as the risks in investing in CLP: that CLP has reached
maximum demand and is facing downward tariff pressures in
Hong Kong; the expiration of its Scheme of Control agreement
with the government in 2008; competition from Chinese power
companies; receivables in India; and pool prices in Australia.
CLP addresses these in its Management Discussion and Analysis,
in the "Frequently Asked Questions" section in its
website, and in dialogues.
Financially, CLP reports the liabilities
associated with its overseas investments beyond the requirement
of Hong Kong accounting rules. The liabilities are summarized
in a two-page illustrative section in its annual report called
"Financial Obligations at a Glance", which consolidates
its equity share in the liabilities of its subsidiaries, including
those in which it has only a minority interest.
"Those liabilities are without recourse to CLP so we
do not consolidate them [in the group balance sheet],"
says Tse. "But by presenting them in two pages to shareholders,
people can make a better evaluation of CLP." This presentation
is unique. Most financial reports - globally - bury contingent
liabilities in the notes to the accounts. That is, if they
mention them at all.
"CLP's 'At a Glance' is an intelligible
and communicative way of explaining the interactions between
the statements, with some key notes to them," says Guillaume,
who calls the section a benchmark. "It puts results and
amounts in perspective and gives the ideal picture to kick
off the reading of a financial review, especially for the
shareholder unaware of basic financial mechanisms, which is,
lest we forget, the case with most of them." Simple,
that is, but not simplistic. In its ranking of annual reports
globally, Enterprise gives CLP a high rating of B-plus, on
a par with General Electric.
For Tse, the rewards of transparency can
be measured numerically, not from its quoted share price,
but from its beta - a measure of the volatility of the share
price over a given period of time. Because beta is a multiplier
in the calculation of a company's cost of capital, a low beta
means Tse can better tame or manage the cost of running his
capital-intensive business. Tse estimates CLP's 12-month beta
at 0.6, one of the lowest in Hong Kong, and among utility
companies globally.
"By improving the communication process
between the market and the company, even if there is a short-term
misunderstanding, it can be rectified right away," says
Tse. "I'm not saying that an increase in transparency
will directly help the share price, but being transparent,
being predictable, will reduce the beta, which is one of the
ways we can reduce the overall cost of capital of the company."
Feedback Value
Kuah Boon Wee, CFO of Singapore-based
defense engineering contractor ST Engineering, takes investor
views so seriously that he has devised a simple, yet innovative,
way of getting them: ST attaches feedback forms in its reports
and website, which investors fill in conscientiously.
The result is an annual report (survey
score: 3.5 stars) that gives more information than those of
its peers. Consider this: in its annual report and investor
meetings, ST announces its economic value added (EVA), a measure
of returns after deducting cost of capital. "[In the
feedback forms] people will ask a lot of questions on certain
areas, and you realize it's an area of interest," says
Kuah.
But Kuah is even prouder of the fact that he discloses ST's
order book, or the status of new and existing orders. He considers
this a way of explaining the long cycle time involved in building
defense-related vehicles and equipment. "We disclose
that information every quarter so people have a good grasp
of what our position is - between new orders, and sales from
existing orders," he says.
ST's report on the performance of its
four business segments is also not limited to revenue contribution,
as is commonly the case in most reports. Its segment reports
include a full set of financials, from profit and loss accounts
to individual cash flow and balance sheet statements. "We
don't do all the notes when it comes to the annual report,
but [with these details in segment reporting] you pretty much
get a complete management discussion on what affected the
business in the period concerned," Kuah says.
His compatriot, Teoh Tee Hooi, CFO of
Singapore Airlines (survey score: 3 stars) backs him up on
disclosing more than is required by law. "Access to historical
performance as well as forward-looking information on trends,
opportunities and risks, help investors and analysts make
informed decisions about us," says Teoh. "Proactively
engaging stakeholders in two-way communication helps us gain
valuable feedback about our operations, and puts us in a better
position to address any concerns."
For Kuah, investor relations and preparing
financial reports is all about pre-empting investor concerns.
"It's a case of thinking: 'How do we explain our business
to people, who may not be as familiar with our business?'"
he says. With attitudes like this, it's only a matter of time
before the Marc Fabers of the world put a little more trust
in CFOs.
Click
here for full results in pdf format
Additional research by Vero Escarmelle
of Enterprise.com.
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