| PERFORMANCE MATRIX |
March 2002 |
RISK MANAGEMENT
James Irvine - BAT Malaysia
By Tom Leander
Cigarettes come with a warning on the
label. Smokers smoke anyway. James Irvine, CFO of BAT Malaysia,
lights up once in a while, too, but that's just about the
only risk he accepts willingly. His industry is plagued by
high import duties, crop failure, currency volatility, the
ephemeral nature of brands, anti-smoking groups and health
regulators. No wonder he has made risk management central
to his job.
These same risks afflict tobacco companies
anywhere. But BAT Malaysia's exposure exceeds the risk of
other companies because it owns a lion's share of the local
business and it is undiversified. BAT was formed in 1999 when
Rothmans of Pall Mall (Malaysia) merged with Malaysian Tobacco,
creating a giant with 70 percent of local sales. It yields
a rich cashflow that is continually chipped away by risk.
Irvine wins this year's Best Practice Award for Risk Management
for incorporating the management of risk into his company's
day-to-day fabric.
BAT's profits, despite a 30 percent rise
in import duties last year, crop failure and regional economic
woes, showcase Irvine's success. Pre-tax profits rose 39 percent
to US$184 million last year on sales of US$605 million. More
importantly, BAT averaged 57 percent cashflow return on investment
- cashflow minus a charge for the cost of capital - for the
past three years.
Irvine's career prepared him well for
the task of risk manager. He first worked for British Petroleum
as an auditor in China, switching to BAT in 1986. His history
with BAT reads like the stamps on a P&O trunk: auditor in
Guatemala, Pakistan and New Caledonia. As general manager
of operations in New Guinea he ordered his employees off an
island with an active volcano. He became general manager for
Asia Pacific in 1997.
The Big Smoke
Irvine was posted to London when he was
offered the job as CFO of BAT Malaysia in 1999. The merger
had consolidated BAT's holdings in Asia into a giant based
in Malaysia. Straightening out its finances and protecting
it from risk were key goals of the global company. Foreign
equity in BAT Malaysia amounts to 72 percent, and the parent
needed a CFO of multinational stature to communicate with
this constituency.
Irvine focused on risk from the first.
He sent a team of auditors to ferret out risks that threatened
the business. He added a node to BAT's enterprise resource
planning system, dubbed the risk register. Unit managers became
responsible for identifying risks and flagging them. The flags
were then centralized and set on a grid of priorities.
When a particular risk continued to emerge
as a top priority, the money to address the problem became
immediately available. "The risk could be as minor as the
breakdown of machinery," says Irvine. "But we already have
a plan to ensure there will be no interruption of supply,"
he says. Irvine assigned controlling risk to the unit's line
managers. He included two new committees, a crisis management
team and a treasury committee to oversee risks that may threaten
to reduce BAT's substantial cashflow.
So far, the system has seen BAT
through the imposition of government import duties and a tighter
regulatory environment. It also helped as Irvine consolidated
the company through post-merger staff cuts. But the real test
of the system lies in the future. "Let's hope that test doesn't
happen," says Irvine. He adds: "But it will take a lot more
than a volcano to surprise us." 
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