| CORPORATE STRATEGY |
February
2002 |
WHERE TO SPEND IT
In a downturn, CFOs make the most
of cash to capture future growth
By Abe De Ramos
Few CFOs can afford to smile like
Frank Chan does these days. At a time when Asian companies
are holding on to hard-earned cash to soften the blow of recession,
Chan is leading Hong Kong-based Techtronic Industries in its
global expansion. The company used to make power tools and
vacuum cleaners for Western private labels, but in a span
of just a year, Techtronic bought its own brand through the
North American and European units of Japanese industrial group
Ryobi. An Australian acquisition should follow by March. This
may sound a little bold for a 16-year-old company that makes
just US$500 million a year, and it is. But Chan speaks of
it matter-of-factly. "We are merely building on our expertise,"
he says.
He may be too bashful. Techtronic is actually trying to break
out from the mold of business that Asia has been known for.
The region remains a factory for the world; some of its largest
corporations are contract manufacturers, assembling gadgets
or weaving clothes for, and designed by, Western companies.
While many can only aspire to move up the value chain by owning
a brand, Techtronic is doing it one continent at a time, and
has even started outsourcing some of its own products. Chan
bets on transforming Techtronic from a workshop to a market
leader, pitting its Ryobi brand against Black & Decker in
the US, and Bosch in Europe and Australia.
So far, Chan is making strides. Techtronic last year sealed
a 20-year contract to keep its Ryobi power tools on the shelves
of Home Depot, the largest do-it-yourself (DIY) retailer in
the US, and Castorama, its equivalent in Europe. Analysts
see 2001 profits reaching US$230 million, up 20 percent from
a year ago. To be sure, Techtronic is a story in progress,
but if it succeeds, it could become a model for other businesses
in the region. For Chan, the formula is simple. "Our products
are in the consumer category," he says. "To maintain leadership
and to survive, we need to continue to invest in new products
and new technologies."
Beyond the Fog
Not surprisingly, few CFOs in Asia
are as willing. The weakness in capital markets, not to mention
the global economy, has led many businesses to put revenue
initiatives and strategic moves on hold, at least until the
second half of the year, which is the most optimistic prediction
of a recovery.
They may be missing a great opportunity, as asset prices have
fallen dramatically. "Downturns don't last forever," says
Crawford Gillies, managing director of consultancy Bain &
Company in London. "Leaders who swim against the tide and
manage for the long term will not only position themselves
for the future, but will often do better in a downturn."
That statement is something no CFO could deny, and in fact
a few have set their capital expenditure at a wide range this
year, reflecting a reluctance to be too opportunistic. The
problem for those on the side of conservatism is that they
could not see past the fog of uncertainty. "It's not like
we're in a recession and so they don't invest," says Martin
Cubbon, group finance director of Swire Pacific, the US$2
billion-a-year conglomerate that controls Cathay Pacific Airways
and vast upscale properties in Hong Kong. "It's that there
is not enough clarity for some people who want to invest."
On the other hand, those with decent enough cashflows are
in a better position to capture future growth, either through
acquisitions or by gobbling the market share of weaker competitors.
"The current timing, for cash-rich buyers, is a real opportunity,
especially in negotiating asset prices with vendors," says
Miller Chen, CFO of Taiwan-based VIA Technologies, the second-largest
supplier of chipsets in the world, which outsources all its
manufacturing. "The challenge that a CFO is facing is how
to maximize his choices and minimize expense," says Chen.
That is a mighty challenge. CFOs nowadays have less cash to
work with, and so their role as advisors to CEOs, and champions
of shareholders, on where to spend it could not be more critical.
Right investing can steer a company through the downturn,
edge out competition, and transform a company from an also-ran
into an innovator. Noble goals all, but what Chan, Cubbon
and Chen know is that price and potential returns are only
half the equation. When promised returns far outstrip cost
of capital, a company can easily overlook whether or not it
has the expertise to make it work. "When we invest, we first
ask ourselves, 'What is our skill set?'" says Cubbon. "Having
defined those skills, we then say, 'If we can see a project
where we can apply those skills and obtain a return above
our cost of capital, we'll be interested in it."
So it is for Chan. As he put it, Techtronic is merely building
on its expertise. Its acquisition of Ryobi diversified its
product line in the same category. Techtronic is a major manufacturer
of cordless tools; Ryobi gave it the skill and capacity to
move into the higher-end corded tools. But more importantly,
the Ryobi venture was actually an acquisition of not just
the brand name, but its marketing, sales and distribution
assets.
The Great Migration
Techtronic started in 1985 as an
OEM, or original equipment manufacturer, making goods for
the likes of Ryobi, Bosch, and Sears, Roebuck & Co. But its
founders, Horst Julius Pudwill and Chi Ping Chung, who hold
masters degrees in engineering, knew they could do more than
that. They abandoned the OEM model after just three years
in the business, and invested in design talents, now numbering
110 people in Hong Kong. With no marketing expertise, Techtronic
was happy to be an ODM, or original design manufacturer, building
prototypes of items such as drills and vacuum cleaners, and
mass-producing them for private labels.
Opportunity knocked in 2000 when Ryobi decided to abandon
its power tools business and focus on die casting for motor
equipment. Chan knew it was a risk he had to take, never mind
that he traditionally spent just US$20 million to US$25 million
a year on capital expenditure. "We never thought of owning
our own brand, because we were happy to stay as an ODM," says
Chan, who paid US$89 million for Ryobi North America in August
2000, and US$6.7 million for Ryobi Europe in August 2001.
"But this was a golden opportunity, and we saw no reason why
we should not migrate ourselves, from OEM to ODM, and now
to OBM (original brand manufacturer)."
The price of this transformation was a sharp turn in Techtronic's
balance sheet; its debt-to-equity ratio shot up from 0 to
91 percent in 2000. It has since gone down to 80 percent through
refinancing, but Chan will continue to spend for marketing
and distribution, design and development of new applications
and product improvements, and shifting most of the legacy
manufacturing of Ryobi in the US to its factories in China.
So far it has been money well spent. Analysts predict revenues
in 2001 reached US$770 million, and its future as a US$1 billion-a-year
company isn't too far. Chan is convinced the power tools business,
which makes up two-thirds of Techtronic revenues, is immune
to a downturn. Crisis or no, walls will have to be mended
and dirty rugs vacuumed, he says.
A Mean Brew
Cubbon continues to learn a thing
or two about transformation. As a 130-year-old company, Swire
evolved from a port operator into a prime property developer,
an aviation leader, a Coca-Cola licensee, and a trading house.
Take Cathay Pacific, which as an airline naturally needs engineering
services such as aviation maintenance. In 1950 Cathay moved
its engineers into a separate company, Hongkong Aviation Engineering,
and soon gained business from other airlines. "Suddenly there
was a separate company and a separate business, which in turn
took its skills to China," Cubbon recalls. "Now it's a big
facility in Xiamen and it's doing very well."
With that success, Swire should know better than to stray.
But in 1995 it invested in a joint venture with the Danish
company Carlsberg to brew beer in China. "We have expertise
and assets in the distribution, merchandising and sale of
Coca Cola in China, and we thought we were going to do the
same thing for Carlsberg," says Cubbon. But brewing operations
demanded a skill set that Swire did not have. "We had involvement
at the board level, but we couldn't confess to be experts,
so we couldn't bring in a lot of people with background in
beer to help improve the business." The partnership failed,
and in November 2001 Swire sold its entire stake in the venture.
Now, in his latest foray into China, Cubbon is going back
to familiar territory: prime property development. Last year,
Swire entered into a joint venture with the Guangzhou Daily
News Group to build a US$512 million hotel, retail and residential
property in Tien He, Guangzhou. "It's a mini Pacific Place,"
he says, referring to Swire's successful mall-cum-condominium
in Hong Kong. He expects the project to be completed in five
years. Cubbon also hopes to learn new skills. "We'll take
this very seriously and we're going to learn a lot from this.
We're confident, though we can't say for sure, that it's the
first of many," he says.
The Stress Test
All this is not to say that new
ventures have to be ruled out. Neptune Orient Lines (NOL),
a shipping company in Singapore, has successfully entered
into the logistics business in the US with the acquisition
in 1997 of APL Logistics. It wants to establish a presence
in Europe and Asia, and to this end CFO Lim How Teck raised
US$700 million in credit facilities last year. "At any one
time, we have more than US$1 billion available," Lim says.
"For our company, you can't live on a shoestring budget of
just hundreds of millions of standby money."
But despite NOL's wealth, Lim is more stringent in his investment
decisions than ever before. His business is dependent on global
trade, something that will not look healthy in 2002. Its main
revenue contributor, liner shipping, is cash-intensive, so
Lim wants to make sure that every penny he spends will more
than make up for the cost, and will be sustainable in the
long term. How will he do it? "Given this sobering environment
coming up, we have to be very selective in 2002," says Lim.
"That means that we are more stringent than the previous years,
and if good projects come along, we would have to run it by
more benchmarks," he says.
For Lim, it all boils down to a simple question: "Will we
be able to survive a really bad patch, which may be prolonged
if we imagined wrongly?" he asks. "If the answer is yes, then
it is an opportunity, because when everybody feels weak and
you have the capability to do so, then it is a competitive
advantage," he says. Needless to say, a large part of the
answer depends on whether your business has the skill set
to support it. "In getting to the logistics business, we try
to get the maximum synergy between our line of business, which
is liner shipping, and logistics," he says.
The downturn affirms NOL's decision to focus its efforts on
asset-light ventures such as logistics. Due to oversupply
in services of liner shipping, NOL has had to reduce tonnage
and cut prices. Revenues from this side of the business shrank
2 percent in the first half of 2001 versus a 63 percent rise
for logistics. The contrast will widen when full-year figures
are reported. Turnover from logistics is expected to grow
75 percent. "For liner shipping, we have delayed an additional
loop that goes into the Asia-Europe trade," says Lim. "We're
trying to change to a more asset-light business model," he
says.
Lim may have hit the nail on the head. In a survey based on
share prices from December 1995 to May 2001, advisory firm
McKinsey said the best value creators in Asia generally had
three things in common: a global strategy where more than
half of revenues come from overseas markets; a business focus
where more than 80 percent of revenues come from a single
main industry; and they are asset-light. To produce US$1 of
sales, the biggest value creators in Asia need only US$1 in
assets, compared with US$4 for the average Asian company,
says McKinsey. Among them are Li & Fung, a Hong Kong-based
global supply chain company, and Hindustan Lever, a consumer
goods company in India, which has an asset-to-sale ratio of
0.5.
"Rather than invest in physical assets, the most profitable
Asian companies focus on intangibles such as fostering human
capital, exploiting network effects, and creating synergies
based on brands or reputation," according to McKinsey consultants
Tobias Hoschka and John Livingston, in a paper called "Winning
Asian Strategies". They say: "This asset-light approach is
particularly critical in Asia, where currency fluctuations
can dramatically alter the value of assets."
Bonds of Loyalty
While opportunities to invest in
asset-light ventures may not knock everyday, CFOs agree that
in a downturn they can at least spend on taking care of those
who do knock on their doors everyday: their customers. The
benefits are clear: providing the best attention and service
to customers in bad times will earn their loyalty, and should
generate better business in good times. It sounds pretty obvious,
but the practice isn't.
"Strengthening the bonds of loyalty with key customers is
probably not the first strategy that springs to mind when
considering how to best navigate a downturn," says Gillies
of Bain. He argues that customer loyalty directly results
in increases in profitability. "By holding on to your most
attractive customers, you reduce your spending on acquiring
new ones, your marketing initiatives become better targeted,
and you are often able to charge increased premiums and offer
additional products and services."
In the technology arena, holding on to customers is inextricably
linked with the capability to develop and make newer products.
That is why Stan Baumgartner, CFO of Hong Kong-based ASAT,
which makes semiconductor chips for companies such as Lucent
Technologies and Motorola, is boosting his capital expenditure
for research and development (R&D) and marketing. "In fact,
they were specifically cited as items not included in the
cost-cutting," says Baumgartner. "When your customers begin
to see a sharp upturn, they want to be sure that you have
the capability and the volume to meet their demand, so if
you don't invest, you're certainly going to take a reversal
in market share," he says.
ASAT's R&D investments are small compared to the larger chip
contract manufacturers in Taiwan or Singapore. ASAT will increase
R&D spending by about US$1 million, to US$7 million this year,
about half of estimated capital expenditure for 2002. The
gesture, however, says a lot. Since the technology bubble
burst early last year, ASAT has laid off half of its 18,000
employees in Hong Kong.
Its capacity utilization is less than 25 percent, and its
P&L swung to a loss of US$5.5 million in the quarter ending
October 2001, from a profit of US$34 million in 2000. Early
indications point to a better 2002, especially in the second
half, and Baumgartner is trying to position ASAT for it. "We've
invested at selling efforts," he says. "It means either more
sales, customer service or engineering people. Not a lot,
but it means adding at a time when you think that all you're
doing is cutting now," says Baumgartner. A stronger marketing
team is crucial for ASAT. The company is trying to diversify
its client base to rely less on the communications sector,
probably the most battered sector in the last year. "Diversification
would alleviate some of the volatility in communications,
and it gives us broader markets to sell many of the same products
that actually go to the communications market as well," he
says.
Singapore-based Chartered Semiconductor, the third-largest
semiconductor foundry in the world, is in an almost identical
mode. In November, the company added to its executive management
team. The senior vice-president of technology development,
Sun Shi-Chung, will look after Chartered's development of
leading-edge technology. Sun will have his hands full this
year. For fiscal 2001, Chartered increased its R&D spending
by 35 percent to US$80 million, or 15 percent of its total
US$550 million capital expenditure. A further two-digit increase
will happen this year.
Although not diversifying its market segment, Chartered is
diversifying its customer concentration. "We have made a lot
of progress in broadening our customer base, but a lot more
needs to be done," says Chartered CFO Chia Song-Hwee. "In
year 2000, our top five customers occupied about 40-odd percent
of our revenues, so what we are trying to do there is to lower
the concentration of that top five or top ten customers."
To do that, Chia is investing in back-end design services
support through joint ventures that will make use of each
partner's existing resources. Back-end support will allow
customers to design their products and quickly qualify into
Chartered's manufacturing process, allowing them to get to
the market faster. To this end, Chartered is partnering with
a few integrated circuit tools providers such as US-based
Synopsys. "It involves us running silicons and test chips,
but at the same time, there are commercial agreements between
us and the providers in the form of engineering charges and
royalties," Chia says.
With his foundries' capacity running a low 22 percent, Chia
also has a lot of time to improve manufacturing operations,
including cutting the prototype cycle time, or the time it
takes for Chartered to deliver a working sample of a customer's
design. The initiative started in early 2001, and so far Chartered
has been able to reduce it from 1.5 to 1.8 days per chip map
layer, to just one day.
Hot Property
For Jaime Ysmael,
CFO of Ayala Land, finding out where to spend his money is
easy. "There are bright spots out there, it's just a matter
of identifying them," he says. That bright spot is the middle
class. The Philippine property market has generally been depressed
since the financial crisis of 1998 except the middle
income segment. "We have established a new special business
unit (in 2001) which we tentatively call core-middle income
housing, which will address the higher end of the spectrum,"
says Ysmael.
Ayala Land, which generates much of its revenues from sales
and rental of upscale condominiums, shops, offices and hotels
in Makati and Cebu City, is shedding its image of being a
developer for rich, urban Filipinos. In the past year, three
of Ayala Land's largest investments were in the construction
of a no-frills, single-bedroom condominium unit for yuppies
in Makati, and two malls for the low-middle income class in
Manila.
This year, Ysmael will continue to spend for the completion
of these and other projects. He is also preparing for the
acquisition of a prime, 150-hectare property being sold by
Metro Pacific, a unit of Hong Kong's First Pacific. Metro
Pacific has put a US$200 million tag for the property, an
amount Ysmael thinks is too high. But in the meantime, Ysmael
is channeling some of Ayala Land's resources to consumer financing
to help buyers pay for the property he sells.
The company has typically sold property on the basis of a
30 percent down payment, and it is up to the buyers to find
their own financing for the balance. "We now give them the
option to pay us only 10 percent, and for the balance we extend
a loan basically at interest rates which are effectively higher
than the banks'," he says. To recover the cost, Ysmael sells
other receivables older than two years. "In effect we're leveraging
the strength of our balance sheet by extending in-house financing
to our buyers. We're recovering the cost, and even getting
a slight premium for the risk." Over at Ayala Land's sister
company, Globe Telecom, the most profitable mobile phone operator
in the Philippines, CFO Delfin Gonzales is hiring more people
and improving IT systems to support customer service. "It's
a system that monitors specific behaviors and patterns of
usage of customers, so that today, if you are for instance
a premium member and you call customer service, you're immediately
identified as a premium member, and you get a service level
higher than the average," Gonzales says.
NOL is improving its interface with clients through electronic
bills of lading (BL), a document that establishes the terms
of a contract between a shipper and transport company. "We
are introducing electronic BL to facilitate and cut down the
supply time for customers who get their BL processed with
the banks, and that has been possible with the technological
breakthroughs," says Lim. The companies under NOL have also
just centralized their backroom operations in Shanghai and
Kuala Lumpur, an investment that will bring down overhead
cost and improve efficiencies in the future.
It might be a small effort, but it will reap big benefits
when NOL completes its acquisition strategy. Big or small,
investing in a downturn is a strategic move that demands both
a disciplined and focused use of cash, and an ability to take
calculated risks. "If you have the money and the balance sheet,
use it," says Lim. Carefully applied, these efforts should
pay off, as timing is on his side.
Abe De Ramos is a senior writer for
CFO Asia based in Hong Kong.
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