| PERFORMANCE MATRIX |
October 2000 |
GETTING GOOD VALUE
CFO Asia and Stern Stewart's annual
ranking of Asia's top value creators reveals that CFOs of
cash-rich companies are having a tough time putting their
money to work.
By Abe De Ramos
One of the toughest jobs a CFO has
today is finding the measure of the true value his company
returns to shareholders. Everyone needs a report card, especially
in today's era of lightning speed e-commerce developments,
increasing global competition and a still-tough market for
capital. While no perfect measure exists, market value added
(MVA) is a good place to start.
In the second annual CFO Asia Performance 100 (P100), we present
our own report card, ranking the top corporate wealth creators
in Asia. With the aid of the Singapore office of US-based
consultancy Stern Stewart, we examined the 1999 accounts of
all publicly traded, large capitalization companies in the
region. Then we looked at their share prices to determine
the ranking, which is based on MVA, the market's measure of
how much wealth companies have created compared to the capital
put into them.
The results make compelling reading. After freeing themselves
of crippling debt and building mountains of cash, many of
the top companies in CFO Asia's second annual ranking have
yet to generate profits, if the cost of capital is tallied
in. That means they score poorly on economic value added (EVA),
the measure that reflects what a company earns versus what
it was charged to run its business. In fact, of the top 50
companies in the P100, 29 have a negative EVA. Still, their
high MVA shows they have won the confidence of investors that
they can provide future profits.
Cash Control
Investor confidence is a beautiful thing, but it won't last
long if these companies - and their CFOs - don't use the cash
on their balance sheets for long-term, wealth-creating investments.
At the moment, many CFOs are sitting at the starting line
with a full tank and a key in the ignition, but remain unsure
of the ground ahead. No one typifies this more than Ding Donghua,
CFO of the number-one value creator, mainland mobile phone
services provider China Mobile (Hong Kong). Listed only in
1997, the company shot up from nowhere to the top of this
year's list. With US$ 2.8 billion in cash on hand - having
dominated the market for almost a decade as a monopoly - Ding
has the resources to start the race for third generation (3G)
mobile phone services almost anywhere in Asia. But when it
comes to strategic planning in China, the land where he has
lived most of his 63 years, the CFO remains firmly on the
side of caution. "We are looking forward to 3G technology,"
he says from his office in Hong Kong. "But China is really
a market that is quite different from the Western market.
We will closely monitor [it] to progressively introduce such
technologies on a market-driven basis."
In the meantime, Ding is intent on staying cash positive.
And investors, who were burned badly during the Asian meltdown,
seem to be willing to give him and other telecom and technology
companies the benefit of the doubt.
Part of the reason investors are
showing such tolerance is that these top value-creating companies
have gone a long way towards restoring confidence by deploying
classic strategies to build long-term profits. While Ding
has made a religion out of lowering the company's cost of
capital in China, Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) (#4), the chipmaker,
has developed world-class techniques to wring costs out of
its supply chain and adopt just-in-time manufacturing techniques.
These measures have kept its cost of capital low in comparison
to other chipmakers around the region.
Also in Taiwan, United Microelectronics (#9), a challenger
to TSMC, has created value through a series of canny acquisitions
that have allowed it to pick the best production methods from
a number of small, innovative Taiwan companies. Hong Kong's
real estate giants Hutchison Whampoa (#2), Cheung Kong Holdings
(#11) and Sun Hung Kai Properties (#12) have all shown mercurial
powers of transformation by diversifying into telecommunications
and e-businesses, weaning themselves away from the tough business
cycle of real estate.
But not all of the companies on the P100 have rolled out such
clearly articulated strategies. Many, like Thailand's BEC
World (#70), are all dressed up with nowhere to go. BEC has
US$73 million on hand, the result of an IPO that raised 2.8
billion baht just before the Asian crisis clobbered the Thai
economy. Chatchai Thiamtong, CFO of the Thai broadcaster,
has never had a chance to use the money. "Since then,
we got stuck with this so-called nice problem," he says.
A Sticky Business
His frustrations aren't all within his realm of control, either.
BEC is planning to introduce digital broadcasting to Thai
living rooms. But in order to get the project moving, the
company needs a license from a regulator that isn't even formed
yet. And to make matters worse, under Thai law, BEC cannot
buy back its shares. So to please shareholders, Chatchai has
been distributing higher dividends - though this is payable
only out of retained earnings. "I have quite a headache
from my cash pile. It's a sticky issue. I don't have a vehicle
to get rid of the cash," he says.
Miguel Jose Navarrete, CFO of Philippine fast-food chain Jollibee
Foods, which slipped to #108 from #74 last year, is caught
in a similar bind. The economy remains too soft for him to
add new stores. He started 2000 with 1.6 billion pesos (US$35
million) in hand. After spending for a new commissary and
initiatives for a recent acquisition, he estimates he will
still start 2001 with over 1 billion pesos. "We're searching
for ways to deploy this cash," he says. He has set aside
another 800 million pesos for a share buyback program, but
share buybacks are only a temporary fix. What Jollibee needs
to do is improve liquidity to attract new equity investors,
particularly foreigners. In January this year, the Philippines
opened the retail sector to foreigners, who now can buy up
to 40 percent of Jollibee shares.
Meanwhile, Singapore Airlines, which soared to #15 from #73
last year, is also flying high with a cash surplus, even after
a fleet expansion program that gave it the world's youngest
fleet - an average age of 5.2 years, versus the industry average
of 14. "We have not relied on debt for our expansion,"
says CFO Cedric Foo. SIA earnings continue to grow - up 13
percent to S$1.16 billion in the year ending March 2000. Yet,
like many of our other top-ranked companies, SIA's EVA remains
in negative territory.
EVA-rich or not, CFOs sitting on cash know they will have
to find effective ways to spend the money and boost shareholder
value sooner rather than later. "We recognize that the
cost of debt can be lower than the cost of equity, and we
may be able to optimize our capital structure by taking on
a prudent amount of debt," admits Foo. He has no borrowing
plans at the moment, and like BEC, he says SIA has also been
returning shareholder value by paying out higher dividends.
He has also launched a share buy-back program. For the latest
financial year, SIA raised its dividend from S$0.25 to S$0.30
a share. Since September 1999, SIA has bought back S$915 million
worth of shares. "SIA
will continue to look at ways to optimize its capital structure
in order to enhance shareholder value-added," says Foo.
Navarrete, who is working with Stern Stewart on how to apply
EVA in his operations, agrees. "We can average our cost
of capital down if we have debt. That's where we're headed,
and the reason for that is this shareholder value concept,"
he says. Meanwhile, Chatchai is just waiting for regulators
to grant him a digital broadcasting license before heading
back to the capital markets. Until then - by a fait accompli
of governments and markets - they face a rising cost of capital
from carrying all that cash.
The Leverage Joe
China Mobile's Ding agrees. "From my perspective, the
most important objective of a CFO is to get the cheapest cost
of capital." He vows that his astronomic cash position
will soon become earthbound when China Mobile goes to the
capital markets to fund the acquisition of some seven mobile
phone units in the mainland from its parent company, China
Mobile Group.
Ding has not yet reached the valuation stage for the acquisition,
so he has yet to decide on what kind of capital raising exercise
he wants to go for. A good part of that would likely be in
local currency. "We have a lot of room to buy assets
in China, so we have a lot of ways to improve our capitalization
structure through the financing of acquisitions. We can increase
our debt and achieve a better gearing ratio. Renminbi loans
are now cheaper than foreign currency [loans], in terms of
interest cost. It would also remove a lot of foreign currency
risk, because our revenues are in renminbi," he says.
Ding hasn't shied away completely
from the international capital markets. He raised US$600 million
from a five-year global bond issuance last year. Despite the
high risk premiums he has to pay to global investors, he would
like to build on the relationship he has forged with investors.
"Broadening the investor base is one measure we can utilize
to minimize the cost of capital. US investors are now quite
familiar with us. I'd like to make sure that European and
Japanese investors have the same good knowledge about the
company."
The same goes for Singapore-based Chartered Semiconductor
(#23), the third-largest independent foundry in the world.
Without subtracting its cash pile of US$1 billion, Chartered
has a gearing ratio of 34 percent, and CFO Chia Song Hwee
would like to see this grow to 50 percent by the end of next
year. This is after he makes use of a US$820 million loan
to fund the expansion of his company's fifth fabrication plant,
curiously called Fab 6.
Dear Prudence
For Chia, getting it cheap is a matter of timing and creativity.
When he funded the fourth factory at the peak of the crisis
in 1998, he opted for an interest spread that widens or narrows
depending on the quality of his financial ratios. For Fab
6, Chia captured a lower benchmark and lower spreads. "Knowing
the market was tough. We tried to create flexibility, so we
had a built-in mechanism that allowed our interest rate to
[float] over time. [Funding Fab 6] was more competitive because
it came at a time when the market was more favorable."
But knowing how to keep funding costs
low does not give these CFOs the license to over-leverage.
Ding is setting a ceiling for China Mobile's gearing at 25
to 35 percent. "We deliberately take a prudent approach.
Over the past few years, investors have been quite concerned
about the devaluation of the renminbi, and they would like
to see that the company does not have too much foreign debt."
Peter Tse, CFO of Hong Kong power
provider CLP Holdings, which slipped to #24 from #7 last year,
has struggled to find the ideal mix of debt in his company's
capital structure, eventually returning the cash to shareholders
by buying back 15 percent of CLP's issued share capital. This
lowered the cost of capital, because it also reduced equity
compared to debt, which costs less to carry. Tse says his
strategy is to keep the debt-to-total capital ratio to a maximum
of 35 percent and maintain an ÔA' grade long-term credit rating.
Both moves would give CLP access to cheaper funding sources
in the international capital markets.
Tse is fighting the battle on the cost side, as well. He managed
to keep operating expenses down by HK$5 billion (US$641 million),
or about HK$625 million a year, from his 1992 to 1999 financing
plan projection. "CLP measured its cost structure and
operating efficiency against some of the very best utilities
in the world, who themselves are implementing improvement
programs. In that respect, the benchmarks keep rising every
year," he says.
To hold down his own, Tse took measures that instilled cost
savings in the minds of CLP staff at all levels. "We
have engaged in a number of initiatives to continue to drive
down costs through fuel purchasing, revised maintenance strategies
and process re-engineering, such as bimonthly billing, which
reduces the number of meter readers required for each month,"
he says.
"I really don't know how to emphasize enough how important
it is to manage operating costs," adds Chartered's Chia.
Because his company now runs five fabs working on different
designs placed by different clients, Chartered is determined
to keep defect density low and utilization high. This means
producing more output without expanding capacity.
In the first quarter of 1999, Chartered Semiconductor's utilization
rate was 92 percent. That improved to 103 percent the next
quarter, reaching a record 107 percent in the second quarter
of 2000. "Making improvements in those areas gives you
the best return. There are other things - like improving pricing
and working closely with vendors, or having consignment stock
to reduce the amount of stock you hold - but these are the
main drivers of how efficient a factory can be," Chia
says.
Big Brother is Watching
Ding of China Mobile has a meticulous approach to capital
expenditures. Before its IPO in November 1997, China Mobile's
accounting was a mess. The basic accrual concept, in his words,
"was not given such a high regard." Things changed
when he took the CFO job after the IPO. Since then, management
reviews the accounts of all operations - leased-line expenses,
interconnection fees, depreciation, wages and administrative
costs - each month and compares them against the budget.
A large part of China Mobile's expenses goes to the lease
of transmission lines for its communications network, paid
almost entirely to China Telecom. Ding has gradually reduced
this, from 18 percent of total cost in the first half of 1999,
to 16 percent in first half of 2000. Like CLP, Ding benchmarks
his expenses against those of other telecom companies in the
world.
"When we see that we are paying a
higher tariff to our leased-line provider, we negotiate hard
for them to change their tariff," he says. Despite China
Telecom's sole position as China Mobile's leased-line provider,
Ding has managed to negotiate hard enough that China Telecom
reduced its tariff three times in the past year. His bargaining
chip? He has enough cash to build his own network.
Careful monitoring of expenses has paid off at CLP as well.
Tse says productivity in terms of electricity units delivered
per employee has increased by 108 percent since 1993, while
China Mobile's subscribers per employee rose from 435 in the
first half of 1999 to 679 in the first half of 2000. Although
operating expenses grew 18 percent, operating revenue grew
twice as much, at 35 percent.
Most of the top companies in the ranking have ensured a tight
control on capital expenditures by connecting their control
systems to compensation. Though all employees of Singapore
Airlines already have share option schemes, CFO Cedric Foo
says profit-sharing bonuses are still attached to return on
shareholders' funds. Meanwhile, Jaime Ysmael, CFO of Philippine
property developer Ayala Land (#66), uses classroom mathematics
to determine how much to reward his staff.
With its diverse portfolio of residential,
corporate and commercial projects, Ayala Land groups its ventures
into six strategic business units, or SBUs, with managers
running each SBU like a company in itself. Each makes its
own investment strategies and prepares its own budgets, while
senior management fine-tunes and approves. Meeting these budgets
is just the first test.
"Once they have met that, there is
another quantitative measure that we call operating performance
indices. These are based on specific measures aside from ROE,
such as total revenues or cashflow from operations, receivables
turnover and inventory turnover," Ysmael says. He then
assigns weight to each of these factors. "We normally
assign a higher percentage in areas that we want to emphasize
in our bottom line. Sometimes it's cashflow, if we feel cashflow
is more critical. We do the balancing every year. If they
meet 75 percent, they [are rewarded]," he says.
Some CFOs, like Chia of Chartered Semiconductor, use EVA as
a reference for incentives, although he does so warily, saying
it discourages long-term investment thinking. "The manager
will say, ÔWhy do I want to invest US$100 million if it will
destroy my EVA?' But those investments would be critical for
the growth of the company," Chia says.
Tse of CLP Holdings not only buys this
argument, but takes it further, saying EVA doesn't give justice,
not just to his staff, but to shareholders as well. He explains:
"EVA can penalize managers for pursuing growth strategies.
When an investmest is made under EVA, its full cost is reflected
in the capital charge, and the resulting EVA will be artificially
low. As the investment depreciates, the capital charge declines.
At maturity, the EVA will therefore be artificially high.
Hence, managers rewarded for maximizing EVA are likely to
avoid growth strategies that result in a short-term EVA reduction
- even if it creates long-term value for shareholders."
EVAngelists or not, the breed of CFOs
in our P100 agree that shareholder value must be paramount.
As Ding puts it: "I realize that I must maximize total
return to shareholders. My goal is not only to establish China
Mobile as a global multimedia services provider, but also
to establish a world-class financial department." 
Abe De Ramos is a senior writer for CFO
Asia. |