| TECHNOLOGY |
September
2000 |
ORACLE'S CASH COW
By Scott Leibs
Vendor, heal thyself may seem an odd prescription
for a company that just completed the most successful year
in its history, but Oracle, the US-based database and software
giant, insists that its self-diagnosis is accurate. "In
order to become a true e-business, we need to change how we
do business," says CFO Jeff Henley. Toward that end,
Oracle is pushing ahead with an ambitious centralization project
dubbed its "single-instance effort," in which dozens
of worldwide data centers will be consolidated into one location.
The move is made possible largely by the maturation of the
Internet, which will provide an accessible, low-cost way for
Oracle to share data and applications with offices in 60 countries.
Initially, Oracle estimated it would
reap US$500 million in savings for its troubles, but as the
project has progressed toward a January 2001 completion date,
the company has upped that figure to a stunning US$2 billion
per year. Not bad for a US$10 billion-a-year company. "It's
a complex subject, and it's taken us months to fully understand
it internally," Henley says. It has taken far less time
for Oracle to grasp the external implications. Indeed, it
appears the company has turned its initiative into a sophisticated
marketing tool for its own services.
Having nominated itself the poster child for centralization,
consolidation and webification, Oracle now offers clients
and prospects white papers and a range of consulting help
on the subject, sharing what it has learned over the past
18 months. "We think we're on to something huge,"
Henley says. "I give four to five talks to customers
every week, and I've also been doing lots of road shows."
Productivity Gains
By year's end, Oracle will consolidate all its IT operations
into one mega-center at its California headquarters. By relying
on just one database and one version of every software application
it uses, Oracle predicts it will save huge sums in IT costs
and, even more important, take advantage of a simplified,
Internet-based infrastructure that it says will make employees
considerably more productive.
In fact, only a small portion (about 13 percent) of the US$2
billion gain Oracle anticipates will come from outright savings
on IT costs. Most of the value will derive from increased
productivity. Henley explains: "If 80 percent of our
40,000 employees are customer-facing, and if we can boost
their productivity 20 to 30 percent thanks to an integrated
suite of web-enabled applications, that equals about US$1.45
billion a year reaching the bottom line."
Henley says that increased productivity will come, in part,
from faster access to information, from standardizing of best
practices, and from new "self-service" applications.
And he insists the savings, speculative though they may be,
will materialize - and that, in fact, they must materialize.
"Many CIOs believe in the advantages of this type of
effort, but we need to prove it so that they can hold us up
as an example." Of course, Henley admits that "there
is a huge amount of emotion," around becoming that example.
And, he says: "Since you can't always get everyone to
agree, sometimes you need a heavy hand."
Enter Larry Ellison, the world's
richest man, thanks to the relative swings in the stock prices
of Oracle and Microsoft. When European partners balked at
relinquishing control of their software, for example, Ellison
gave them a choice: tap into a centralized system for free,
or finance their own IT from their operating budgets. They
opted for free.
But it wasn't all a case of "my way or the highway."
To build support for the effort, and prove that global consolidation
can work, Oracle managed to reduce its e-mail network from
100 widely dispersed servers to just two central hubs in California.
"That was a relatively modest test," Henley says,
"just to prove the sky wasn't falling." At least
not yet. Henley says that within Oracle, there have been fierce
debates and that companies seeking to emulate this strategy
"may require years to get it done, even with great leadership."
Follow the Leader?
Even if Oracle succeeds, should other companies follow suit?
Joshua Greenbaum, principal at California-based Enterprise
Applications Consulting, argues that Oracle, as a software
vendor, has some advantages over certain companies. Not only
does it happen to make virtually all the software it needs
to run its businesses, Greenbaum says, but "it has a
single set of products it sells around the world, requiring
little modification. And most of its growth has been internal.
I can't imagine a Nestle or a Unilever, with multiple brands
and a penchant for buying and selling companies every day,
being able to run on this single-instance model." Henley
maintains that: "The issues are the same for [all companies]
whether they play in high-tech or any other line of business:
are you tapping the power of the Internet to change how you
do business?"
Greenbaum argues that the same Internet technology that drives
Oracle's effort also facilitates other approaches to the IT
architecture. "You don't have to centralize to get advantages
from the web," he says. "You can get information
from a distributed environment just as easily. And without
having to host everything on a single database from guess
who."
Andy Laverty, director of the Americas
Accounting Services Center at Sun Microsystems, however, has
taken a look at Oracle's single-instance effort and says it
dovetails towards centralization and a reliance on web-based
applications. The company has consolidated its accounting
functions into four centers around the globe, down from nearly
30, and wonders if it has gone far enough. "Having four
centers is like owning four houses," Laverty says. "If
you want to put on an extension or make an improvement, you
need to hire four architects, four builders, four everything."
But he adds that each company needs to ask tough questions
about how to take centralization. "We've saved 45 percent
on payroll costs, 75 percent on T&E processing, and similar
amounts on fixed assets and other functions. We don't know
if the cost of further consolidation will reap enough savings
to make it worthwhile. We're still having lots of discussion
around it."
Like Henley, Laverty says that the new order won't emerge
without firm direction from the top. "We followed a rigorous
change-management program," he says, "and even so,
certain issues came up that had to be resolved at the highest
levels. To make this work, you really have to have very strong
executive leadership."
And, perhaps, the inspiring lessons of
companies that have positioned themselves at the leading edge.
With its IT staff due to be cut in half, Oracle has made substantial
progress on a project that doesn't come easily to any company,
even one steeped in high-tech. 
|
Whopper Flop of WAP
The wireless application protocol (WAP)
revolution has failed to come to life in
China, according to the Economist Intelligence Unit's Business
China.
Following an eight-week trial in several
of China's major cities, the country's three main telecoms
providers, along with foreign companies Finland's Nokia, Sweden's
Ericsson and Alcatel of France, announced the launch of WAP
in May. The new WAP phones offered a host of Internet-related
services including stock trading, phone banking and news.
With mobile phone sales rising sharply - 10 million sold in
the first five months of the year - and the total number of
mobile phone owners standing at 48 million, what WAP provider
wouldn't be excited about its growth prospects?
But consumers weren't excited - particularly
about having their personal information on something as easily
stolen or lost as a mobile phone. Even the remote prospect
of losing a phone with access to credit card, banking and
other sensitive information apparently scared off customers.
Although the WAP services are offered free, WAP-enabled phones
carry a hefty price tag of Rmb3,000 (US$362). Worse, the phones
are still slow, with small screens and poor quality images.
By the end of June, less than 10,000 people had subscribed.
Initial forecasts of 800,000 units sold by year-end and 4
million by the end of next year now seem far-fetched.
Although China Mobile is testing new technology
that will speed up transmission time, analysts remain sceptical
about WAP's prospects. The advent of handheld computers, with
much more powerful features, is likely to prove a strong rival
to the super-phones.
Jennifer Lee |